NBA Player Prop Bets: Davis Will Dominate Dallas

Mar 17, 2023
NBA Player Prop Bets (March 17, 2023)

Despite being overshadowed by the Round of 64 on Friday, the NBA presents us with an appealing eight-game slate with plenty of props to target. My three favorites are outlined below.

Regarding the process behind the plays, the suite of tools that 4for4 offers are second-to-none. I use the NBA Splits Tool to break down injury impacts and lineup changes and the NBA Prop Stat Explorer to look at historical data for how the player performs relative to their prop and compare it to our in-house projection. Using these alongside the Player Prop Finder to shop for the best line, 4for4 makes betting on NBA player props a stress-free and fun process.

Now, let’s put the tools to use and get to today’s top player props.

Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets (March 17, 2023)

Anthony Davis Over 27.5 Points (-109 at Caesars)

The absence of LeBron James hasn’t seemed to slow down this Lakers team one bit, and they have Anthony Davis to thank. Having scored at least 30 points in five of his last eight games, Davis has downright dominated this season with James sidelined.

In 16 games without James this season, Davis has seen his usage rate jump from 27% to 32.4%, averaging 27.8 points on 18.6 shots per game. The scoring average would look even better if not for an eight-point outing against the Raptors, where OG Anunoby essentially shut Davis out of the game. Outside of that one-game blip, he’s been downright phenomenal.

Drawing a matchup against a Dallas defense that ranks in the bottom-third of the league in points in the paint allowed per game (50.8), Davis should feast as the featured star once again.

Risk: 1.09 units on Caesars to win 1 unit.

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