2022 Valspar Championship Betting Card Preview

Mar 16, 2022

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The PGA Tour puts a bow on the Florida swing this week with the Valspar Championship. After a wild five days at THE PLAYERS, I'm not sure what this field will look like come Thursday morning. I'm banking on a steady stream of withdraws between now and Thursday morning, so I recommend a light pre-tournament card, earmarking funds for live betting opportunities as the event takes shape on Thursday and Friday.

Located in Palm Harbor, Florida, and played on the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort, Copperhead is often described as one of the Tour's most trying tracks. Best known for the "Snake Pit", the three-hole finishing stretch that can alter the scoreboard quickly, Copperhead plays fast and narrow. The elevation changes and tree-lined fairways make it play more like a Carolina course than your prototypical Florida course.

Scoring opportunities are few and far between here, and each hole can be won or lost from the tee. Finding the small, Bermudagrass greens in regulation is a difficult task here and nearly impossible if you're not in the fairway, so I'm putting a premium on ball-striking this week. The unique dispersion of holes on this 7,340-yard, Par-71 track is something to factor in as well, with five long Par-3s on tap each round. I'm putting a premium on long iron play, focusing on golfers who thrive in the 200+ yard approach range. Check out Ron Klos's tournament preview for his final scoring model and picks.

Past Winners at Valspar Championship

2021: Sam Burns (-17)
2019: Paul Casey (-8)
2018: Paul Casey (-10)
2017: Adam Hadwin (-14)
2016: Charl Schwartzel (-7)
2015: Jordan Spieth (-10)

In this space, I want to touch on the players I'm targeting this week and share my opinion on the best way to bet them at this event.

Please take advantage of the Discord feature and community. It's the best way to get up-to-the-minute lines and advice, and if you need help getting started, please reach out. That's where my full card will be posted, along with any live in-tournament bets.

Betting markets are fluid, but I'll note the best number available at the time of this writing.