Stacking the Deck: FanDuel & DraftKings Stacks for Week 9
Welcome back to Stacking the Deck.
This season at 4for4 we will be providing subscribers with Value Reports and Stack Value Reports that value every stack in terms of projected points/$. We also use our Adjusted Fantasy Points Against (aFPA) metric, which has been adjusted to reflect offseason transactions, heavily in the column.
What’s new this year is we know have the have the advantage of putting into practice two great offseason studies from my colleague, Senior DFS Editor, Chris Raybon: The Definitive Guide to Stacking on FanDuel and The Definitive Guide to Stacking on DraftKings.
Be sure and check out the Week 9 DFS MVP Podcast, where I was called off the bench to fill in for TJ Hernandez. Chris Raybon and I discuss some the plays below, as well as dig into some DFS qualifier strategy and my Rushing Expectation running back methodology.
We will continue to focus on positive correlations in this column, but also put a higher emphasis on leverage plays in GPPs this season.
The following are my top stacks for Week 9 on both FanDuel and DraftKings:
Dak Prescott ($7,600) & Dez Bryant ($7,800) @ CLE
Quarterback and WR1 have a .45 correlation on FanDuel, the strongest of all positions. Dallas is a heavy road favorite (-7.5) in Cleveland with an implied total of 27.5 points, second-highest on the main slate. The Browns rank 31st and 28th in QB and WR (aFPA), respectively. As Raybon mentions on this week's DFS MVP Podcast, Cleveland has allowed multiple TDs quarterbacks in 7-of-8 games this year and 15-of-17 dating back to 2015. Since Dez came in NFL in 2010 he has a 40.2% career red zone TD rate on 87 targets which leads all wide receivers, and he also has 100 yards and/or TD in each of his last three games. The Prescott-Bryant stack is a nice leverage play off of Ezekiel Elliot this week.
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