Stacking the Deck: FanDuel & DraftKings Stacks for Week 14

Dec 08, 2016
Stacking the Deck: FanDuel & DraftKings Stacks for Week 14

Welcome back to Stacking the Deck. This season at 4for4 we will be providing subscribers with Value Reports and Stack Value Reports that value every stack in terms of projected points/$. We also use our Adjusted Fantasy Points Against (aFPA) metric heavily in the column. What’s new this year is we know have the have the advantage of putting into practice two great offseason studies from my colleague, Senior DFS Editor, Chris Raybon: The Definitive Guide to Stacking on FanDuel and The Definitive Guide to Stacking on DraftKings.

I cannot stress enough the value of evaluating your process this time of year to make sure you do everything you can to finish strong. Go back and listen to the DFS Theory segments on the DFS MVP podcast. Research what has worked for you personally and where you have not seen as much success. NFL DFS involves a very small sample size, but you can still gain clues as to where you stand by this point of the year. Take some time this week to go over your past performance and see what types of tournaments you have consistently seen the greatest ROI.

We are coming up on the home stretch of the 2016 NFL season. As always, we focus on positive correlations in this column, but also put a high emphasis on leverage plays in GPPs.

The following are my top stacks for Week 14 on both FanDuel and DraftKings:

FanDuel Stacks

Matt Ryan ($8,300) & Julio Jones ($8,300) @ LA

Quarterback and WR1 have a .45 correlation on FanDuel, the strongest of all positions. The Falcons are a road favorite (-6) and are tied for the fourth-highest implied team total of the week (25.5). This combo had a much bigger game last week than what showed on paper, and the good news is their ownership will be lower than it should be due to Julio showing up on the injury report. They are in arguably just as good of a spot this week against a Rams defense that ranks 28th in our signature metric, aFPA, to the WR position. The negative here is that Julio is expected to see Trumaine Johnson and not E.J. Gaines most of the game. Still, this is a matchup that Julio can win. It is also an upgrade for the rest of Matt Ryan’s weapons.

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