Week 16 vs. Baltimore Ravens (Saturday)
Los Angeles hosts Baltimore on a short week with a chance to get its offense back to full strength, with the return of Melvin Gordon and possibly Keenan Allen. This game has a low over/under of 43.5 points, with the Chargers having an implied total of 23.75, lower than recent weeks against a strong Baltimore defense. The Ravens rank first in aFPA to WRs this season. Keenan Allen will be a game-time decision after leaving last week's game with a hip pointer. If active, Tyrell Williams goes back to not being a starting consideration.
Week 14 at Kansas City Chiefs (Thursday)
In a huge divisional showdown on Thursday night, the Chargers and Chiefs have the second highest over/under on the Week 15 slate, with Los Angeles still with an above average 24.75 implied total despite being road underdogs. The Chiefs rank just 17th in aFPA to WRs. Keenan Allen leads all receivers with 66 targets over the past six weeks. Over that span, Mike Williams has just 19 targets and Tyrell Williams just 20. Neither is a fantasy starter at this point.
Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Chargers face one of, if not, the worst defenses in the league at this point in the season this week. Los Angeles has an implied team total of 31 points. Only the Saints implied total is higher. Plus, Philip Rivers has thrown multiple touchdown passes every game this season. The Bengals are 17th in aFPA to WRs. With Melvin Gordon out, Keenan Allen is exploding; however, it started after the bye week. He has 57 targets in his past five games. His elite talent is showing again, and he is among the best WR options in Week 14. Only Allen is a viable starting receiver in this offense though, as Mike and Tyrell Williams have a combined nine targets in their past two games.
Week 13 at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Chargers have an average implied team total of just over 24 points this week, but with negative game script expected as a road underdog, and Melvin Gordon out this week with a knee injury, Philip Rivers fantastic efficiency should now add some passing volume. That should also help target monster Keenan Allen, who is averaging more than 20 PPR points per game since the Chargers bye. However, Mike and Tyrell Williams are too much of a risk to start in Week 13, with only 10 and 15 targets, respectively, over their past four games. Both are too volatile to start in re-draft leagues.
Week 12 vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Chargers have an implied team total of 28 points, an attractive projection. This is a run funnel defense that the Chargers will face with Arizona ranking top 10 in aFPA to WRs, and Tyrell Williams is likely to face Patrick Peterson in coverage, one of the best corners in the game. Williams has been inconsistent in regards to his target volume in recent weeks, making him a volatile touchdown-or-bust receiver. This tough coverage match-up further cements his Week 12 status as a non-fantasy starter.
Week 11 vs. Denver Broncos
Fantasy owners should expect a run-heavy attack this week for the Chargers. Denver is eighth in aFPA to QBs and 12th in aFPA to WRs this season but just 18th in aFPA to RBs. With a large implied team total of 26.75, Tyrell Williams could make another splash play, even if Philip Rivers has five consecutive weeks of fewer than 30 pass attempts. However, Keenan Allen's large 35 percent target share in LA's two games since its bye keeps Tyrell Williams more in the risky dart-throw category, with not many targets left to go around in such a balanced offense.
Week 10 at Oakland Raiders
Los Angeles has the third-highest implied team total on the Sunday slate, and the Chargers face a pitiful Raiders secondary ranked just 26th in aFPA to WRs. For Tyrell Williams, there was an interesting development as well in Week 9. He played 92 percent of snaps compared to just 29 percent for Mike Williams. Tyrell has four touchdowns in his last three games, despite just 11 targets in that span. The deep threat is just that again this week against Oakland. But if you're in need of a FLEX with big upside, the match-up is conducive to that for Tyrell Williams in Week 10, despite the low target volume.
Week 8 at Seattle Seahawks
Tyrell Williams has certainly made the most of his targets. Just eight in his past two games but 236 yards and three touchdowns. He should see coverage against the weak link in Seattle's secondary too, cornerback Shaquill Griffin. The lack of targets makes Williams extremely hard to rely on in PPR leagues, but in a heavy bye week, there's an argument to be heard for putting him in FLEX consideration in standard leagues, as Seattle is only around league average at 14th in aFPA to WRs.
Week 7 vs. Tennessee Titans (London)
The Chargers are favored with an implied team total of 26 points, foreshadowing what should be a successful offensive day for this offense. Tyrell Williams comes off a big Week 6, but those thinking of starting him again should tread lightly. He will likely mostly face Titans CB Adoree Jackson, who is only allowing a passer rating under 60.0 this season. Philip Rivers will likely target his other pass catchers more, and Tyrell has not had a single game with six or more targets this season. He's too big of a risk in Week 7.
Week 5 vs. Oakland Raiders
The Chargers have the third-highest implied team total in Week 5 at 28.75 points. Oakland is just 21st in aFPA to WRs this season. Nevertheless, Tyrell Williams hasn't surpassed 5 yards receiving in any game this season. He's waiver wire fodder.
