Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Joe Flacco 245 passing yards (actual 237)

2) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

3) Matt Ryan 275 passing yards (actual 288)

4) Tom Brady projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

5) Frank Gore 62 rushing yards (actual 68)

6) Vernon Davis 43 receiving yards (actual 42)

7) Jason Witten 36 receiving yards (actual 39)

8) Jay Cutler would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 88 yards above average)

9) Jordy Nelson 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

10) LeSean McCoy 14.3 fantasy points (actual 14.7)

11) Mike Wallace 65 receiving yards (actual 60)

12) Brandon LaFell 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

13) LeGarrette Blount would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 46 yards below average)

14) Rob Gronkowski 12.6 fantasy points (actual 12.7)

15) A.J. Green 79 receiving yards (actual 81)

16) DeMarco Murray 52 rushing yards (actual 48)

17) Andy Dalton 229 passing yards (actual 238)

18) Charles Clay 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

19) Tyrod Taylor would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 103 yards above average)

20) Doug Baldwin 9.5 fantasy points (actual 9.5)

21) Russell Wilson projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

22) Kenny Stills 50 receiving yards (actual 54)

23) DeAndre Hopkins 12.0 fantasy points (actual 12.5)

24) Zach Ertz 8.5 fantasy points (actual 8.1)

25) Jaron Brown 28 receiving yards (actual 27)

26) Jack Doyle 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

27) Mike Evans 10.4 fantasy points (actual 10.7)

28) Martavis Bryant 59 receiving yards (actual 60)

29) Eric Ebron 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

30) Austin Seferian-Jenkins 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Taylor Gabriel 3.3 fantasy points (actual 3.2)

32) Cameron Brate 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

33) Melvin Gordon 122 total yards (actual 128 yards)

34) Jay Ajayi 11.7 fantasy points (actual 11.3)

35) Javorius Allen 41 rushing yards (actual 37)

36) Amari Cooper 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

37) Stefon Diggs 56 receiving yards (actual 60)

38) Seth Roberts 22 receiving yards (actual 23)

39) Jacoby Brissett projected pass TD 0.9 (actual 1)

40) Roger Lewis 40 receiving yards (actual 40)

41) Austin Hooper 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

42) Tyreek Hill 11.1 fantasy points (actual 10.8)

43) Robby Anderson 54 receiving yards (actual 51)

44) Christian McCaffrey 36 rushing yards (actual 39)

45) Alvin Kamara 57 receiving yards (actual 58)

46) Kareem Hunt 17.5 fantasy points (actual 16.6)

47) JuJu Smith-Schuster 75 receiving yards (actual 75)

48) Chris Godwin would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 72 yards above average)

49) Cooper Kupp 61 receiving yards (actual 65)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 16 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 235 1.5 266 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 301 1.2 257 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 206 0.8 214 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 16 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 119 0.9 109 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 80 0.5 83 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 43 0.2 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 16 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 90 0.2 84 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 48 0.2 61 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 39 0.1 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w17