Todd Gurley Fantasy Football Week 0 Scouting Report

Todd Gurley
RB
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Age: 30
Weight: 224 lbs
Height: 6' 1"

ADP:
Depth Chart Ranking: N/A

Pts	RuYds	RuTD	Rec	RecYds
0	0	0	0	0

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Scouting report

by Bill Riccette

· Jul 24, 2020 · 8:46 AM EDT

ATL RB Todd Gurley - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside

Todd Gurley didn't last long in free agency after being cut from the Los Angeles Rams this offseason and he lands in a good spot in Atlanta, with a strong offense and offensive line around him. He also faces less competition than he would have faced if he was still in L.A. Even with dealing with limitations in 2019, Gurley still finished as RB14 in 2019 with 12 touchdowns.

Fantasy Downside

The injury issues are certainly still surrounding Gurley dating back to the Rams run to Super Bowl LIII and will continue to linger heading into 2020. That said, he still played about 75% and carried the football 223 times in 2019.

2020 Bottom Line

As the clear lead back in Atlanta, replacing Devonta Freeman, Gurley has the looks of a very good RB2. Don't expect Ito Smith, Brian Hill or Qadree Ollison to cut into his workload too much

by Andrew Fleischer

· Dec 27, 2019 · 5:30 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs Arizona Cardinals
Todd Gurley has turned out to be a significant fantasy value at running back in 2019, exceeding value at his ADP and defying expectations of an injury-limited season. He stands as fantasy's RB12 through Week 16, and he's been an RB1 or RB2 for 11 of 14 games played, missing just one game in Week 6.

Unfortunately, the Rams' loss to the 49ers last week knocked them out of playoff contention, making it fairly unlikely that Gurley will play many (or any) snaps in Week 17. Only their 2020 draft slot will be affected by this game's outcome, and the Rams traded their first-round pick to Jacksonville for Jalen Ramsey. Only two teams have allowed a higher aFPA to running backs than the Cardinals, but alas, Gurley probably won't have the opportunity to run them over.

by Andrew Fleischer

· Dec 20, 2019 · 9:26 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at San Francisco 49ers
Todd Gurley scored both a rushing and a receiving touchdown last week against the Cowboys and despite just 38 total yards from scrimmage, that made him the RB10 for the week. Gurley has now finished as an RB1 in four of his past five games, with a snap rate of 80% or more in his past two. Gurley finished outside of the week's top 24 running backs against the Steelers in Week 10 and the Ravens in Week 12, both teams whose aFPA to opposing running backs ranks top five among defenses.

Unfortunately for Gurley, he's up against a 49ers defense that ranks as the third-best in aFPA to running backs. San Francisco's front-seven is a formidable obstacle for Gurley, but his fantasy return will hinge on Los Angeles' ability to slow down a San Francisco offense that's averaged more points per game than every team but Baltimore. On the road for the second week in a row and following a game in Dallas in which they fell behind 28-7 in the first half, it's hard to feel confident in the Rams' ability to force a run-friendly game script. Consider Gurley a low-end RB2 for the fantasy finals.

by Andrew Fleischer

· Dec 12, 2019 · 4:07 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Dallas Cowboys
Todd Gurley is rounding him into form at an ideal time for fantasy owners in 2019. He's finished as the week's RB8 for the past two weeks in a row, and the he's taken full control of the Rams rushing offense. His 80% snap share against the Seahawks was his third-highest of the season, while his 48.2% touch rate on that snap volume that was his second-highest of 2019. Gurley's also been re-integrated as a receiving option, catching all four of his targets last week for 34 yards.

The Rams play the Cowboys in Dallas this week, who rank 20th in aFPA to running backs and 8th in aFPA against wide receivers. Both figures are good news for Gurley, as that disparity should mean more volume for Gurley, and his efficiency on that volume should continue against a Dallas defense potentially missing linebackers Leighton Vander-Esch and Sean Lee. Gurley makes for an RB1 start this week, and continue to reward those who looked past his injury potential to draft him.

by Andrew Fleischer

· Dec 06, 2019 · 1:10 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Seattle Seahawks
Todd Gurley was presented with a struggling Cardinals run defense in Week 13, and turned in an excellent fantasy performance as the fantasy RB8. Gurley has seen more than 18 rushing attempts in two of his last three games, with the Rams' lopsided loss to the Ravens accounting for the other game. It's an encouraging trend for Gurley's usage over the next few weeks.

Gurley's fantasy playoff opponents are the Seahawks, Cowboys, and 49ers, which isn't ideal. The Seahawks rank ninth in aFPA to running backs, though Gurley did manage a QB10 performance against Seattle in Week 5, rushing for 51 yards on 15 attempts with two touchdowns. It was also one of just two games in which he was targeted more than four times. I wouldn't be thrilled to have to rely on Gurley this week as an RB1, but he should be a safe start as an RB2.

by Andrew Fleischer

· Nov 29, 2019 · 3:56 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 at Arizona Cardinals
Todd Gurley was held in check in Week 12 against the Ravens, and saw just six rushing attempts for 22 yards and an RB46 finish for the week. Gurley was used heavily the week prior against the Bears, so despite a difficult matchup, his fantasy finish was likely still a disappointment to many fantasy owners. Baltimore quickly put the Rams into a big hole, which equated to a near-abandonment of the run game.

The Arizona Cardinals have an aFPA to running backs that ranks twelfth-worst in the NFL, so the defensive matchup here is inviting. Despite a poor fantasy finish last week, Gurley dominated the snap share for the Rams, playing 96% of the offensive snaps. John Paulsen's projections rank Gurley as a fringe RB1 for the week, and if he's on your roster, he's a worthy start.

by Andrew Fleischer

· Nov 21, 2019 · 12:20 PM EST

LAR RB Todd Gurley - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 vs Baltimore Ravens
Todd Gurley's Week 11 snap percentage against the Bears of 75% wasn't significantly higher than his 71% season-average, but his 28 touches were his highest of the season. Gurley had his best fantasy outing of the season, with 133 total yards from scrimmage and a touchdown, which led to a finish as the RB3 for the week. If one subscribes to the theory that the Rams have been managing Gurley's reps to ensure his late-season effectiveness, this could be a very encouraging sign for Gurley's value moving forward.

The Rams face an excellent Ravens defense in Week 12, but Baltimore has allowed a higher aFPA to running backs than any other opposing offensive position. Only Baltimore's own high-scoring offense keeps this matchup from being ideal for Gurley, as opponents have often had to keep pace with the Ravens' offensive onslaught, which often means a heavy reliance on the passing game. The Rams' own stalwart run defense would go a long way toward keeping the game-script positive for Gurley's volume. Gurley projects as a low-end RB1 this week.