Week 13 at Houston Texans
Phillip Dorsett missed the Patriots' Week 12 game with a concussion, but he's cleared the protocol and is on track to return against the Texans. When Tom Brady elects to take a deep shot to a wide receiver, Dorsett is the most likely recipient and his 11.9-yard aDOT leads Patriots wide receivers. His five receiving touchdowns also lead the team, despite a 9.4% target share that's last among New England's veteran starting wide receiver trio.
The Texans lost J.J. Watt to injury for the remainder of the season, and the efficacy of their pass rush has suffered significantly as a result. Houston has pressured opposing quarterbacks only 17.8% of the time, the lowest mark in the league. Facing a string of strong pass-rushing defenses over the past few games, Tom Brady hasn't had much time in the pocket to target longer-developing deep routes, but that projects to change this week. This, in combination with his low volume, makes Dorsett a low-floor, high-ceiling start this week as a WR4 or flex play in deeper leagues.