2022 Fantasy Upside
Joe Burrow is way ahead of schedule on his way to becoming one of the top quarterbacks in the league. That is impressive considering he blew out his knee during his rookie season. Last season, there were plenty of reasons to be pessimistic about Burrow, but he might have been the second best quarterback in the AFC over the second half, and led his team to the Super Bowl in his second year. The fantasy stats are very good as he threw for 4,611 yards and 34 touchdowns. The skill players around him might be the best group in the NFL. He should be able to replicate those passing numbers this season.
2022 Fantasy Downside
Despite the impressive second season for Burrow, there are some red flags. He played behind an average offensive line and the new additions aren't guaranteed to provide a big upgrade for the upcoming season. He also threw 14 interceptions which ranked him 6th in the NFL. From a fantasy standpoint, Burrow doesn't run the ball much so that probably brings him down to the middle tier of fantasy quarterbacks.
2022 Bottom Line
Burrow has proven to be a winner and a franchise quarterback for Cincy. His passing numbers are on par with the top fantasy quarterbacks in the league. Expect him to replicate or surpass those numbers. He won't ever be a threat on the ground which makes him a middle of the pack QB1 and his ADP is about right to draft him in the 5th or 6th round. As long as he stays healthy, he will be a fantasy asset in 2022.