• Derrius Guice

  • RB
  • ,
  • 24
  • 218 lbs
  • 5' 11"
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Scouting report

by Jordan Heck

WAS RB Derrius Guice - 2020 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Derrius Guice was Washington’s second-round pick in 2018, so the franchise has a lot invested in him. He showed some promise in 2019 in the games he did play, including a 129-yard, two-touchdown game. Indications point to him being the starting running back this year, and he should be in for a solid workload if he can remain healthy. He’s only 23 years old, and should get every opportunity to showcase what he did at LSU just a few years ago. His injuries have dropped his ADP, which makes him a potential steal later on.

Fantasy Downside
There are two obvious downsides to Guice. The first is his injury history. He’s played in just five games throughout his first two seasons, completely missing his rookie year. The second is Washington’s extremely crowded backfield. Adrian Peterson and Bryce Love are still lingering around and Washington added Peyton Barber, Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic this offseason. A less obvious downside is the fact Guice doesn’t provide much value as a receiver. He’s caught just seven passes in his NFL career, and wasn’t much of a receiving threat while at LSU.

2020 Bottom Line
Guice has a potentially high ceiling depending on what Washington plans to do with its running backs. If he can stay healthy and earn the starting job, there’s no reason he couldn’t produce RB2 numbers. But there’s plenty of risk involved in drafting Guice, which is why his ADP is lower than most projected starting running backs. Guice is a high-risk option with a reward of someone who will produce RB2 numbers.

by Jordan Heck

WAS RB Derrius Guice - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 at Green Bay Packers

Despite seeing just 10 carries, Derrius Guice was able to go off last week, finishing with 129 yards and two touchdowns (he also caught two passes for eight yards). All three backs (Guice, Adrian Peterson, Chris Thompson) played at least 30% of the offensive snaps. The split playing time is worrisome, but Guice does get another solid matchup this week against the Packers. He should be viewed as a lower-end RB2 in Week 14 against Green Bay.

by Jordan Heck

WAS RB Derrius Guice - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 at Carolina Panthers

Derrius Guice split time with Adrian Peterson last week as both backs had 11 touches (10 carries, 1 reception). Guice saw a bit more playing time (six more snaps), but there's no clear leader in this backfield. Even Wendell Smallwood is taking time away by playing 27% of the snaps last week. Guice gets a great matchup this week against the Panthers, who are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to backs, but he's not much more than a low-end flex play due to playing time.

by Jordan Heck

WAS RB Derrius Guice - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 vs. Detroit Lions

Derrius Guice was OK in his return. He didn't do much as a runner, finishing with seven carries for 24 yards. But he did make a big play as a receiver, hauling in a 45-yard touchdown. He only saw two targets all game, however, finishing with that lone reception. He barely out-snapped Adrian Peterson (20 to 17) and played fewer snaps than Wendell Smallwood (31). But Guice could be in for a big game this week as he faces a Lions defense that's allowed the most fantasy points to running backs. Also, Peterson hasn't practiced all week with a toe injury, so if he's inactive that would allow Guice to have a large number of carries. For now, we like him as a flex play or RB3, but if Peterson is inactive he'd bump up to an RB2.

by Jordan Heck

WAS RB Derrius Guice - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 vs. New York Jets

Derrius Guice returns to action this week and it's difficult to know what role he'll have. Last time he was healthy he forced Adrian Peterson to the inactive list. But with a new coaching staff, don't expect that to be the case this time. Bill Callahan told reporters, “We’ve got a pretty good rotational system for that. We feel pretty confident [Guice will] see quite a bit of action this weekend.” Guice gets a decent matchup against the Jets, but it's hard to put him in your lineup without knowing what his role will be. He should be viewed as a desperation flex play.

by Jordan Heck

WAS RB Derrius Guice - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 at Philadelphia Eagles

Derrius Guice is listed as the Redskins' starter. When asked why, coach Jay Gruden said it's because "he’s our second round pick." Sure. While Guice is the starter, we have to imagine Adrian Peterson (who ran for 1,000 yards last year) and Chris Thompson (who averaged 4+ receptions per game last year) to be involved. It's difficult to know just how the splits will go until we actually see Washington play, but since Guice is the official starter we expect him to see the most snaps. He gets a decent matchup against the Eagles and should be viewed as an RB3 option.

by Jordan Heck

WAS RB Derrius Guice - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Derrius Guice was drawing positive reviews in training camp a season ago, and he’s expected to be ready by the start of the season in 2019 after tearing his ACL as a rookie. Guice is Washington’s running back of the future, and offers more promise as a 22-year-old than a 34-year-old Adrian Peterson. He’s a talented player, and there’s a reason Washington spent a second-round pick on him a year ago.

Fantasy Downside
The Redskins brought back Peterson despite expecting Guice back this year. This means he’s not exactly a lock to take the bulk of the carries in 2019. Plus with Chris Thompson on this roster, it adds a lot of talented bodies in the backfield. We also haven’t seen Guice yet since his ACL tear, so we don’t really know what to expect.

2019 Bottom Line
Guice has a high ceiling if he’s fully healthy and gets starter-like touches. But there’s a lot of gamble here on his health and on Peterson’s presence. There are so many different scenarios that could play out with Guice. He could not be fully recovered from injury, he could split duties with AP or he could be the lead back like we expected before his injury last year. With so many questions, it makes Guice a risky choice at an important position. If you want to gamble on him, make sure you have other plans in place in case he fails.

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