2022 Fantasy Upside
Cole Kmet improved in Year 2 as he saw much more playing time, jumping from 243 receiving yards as a rookie to 612 yards in his second year. Kmet was second on the team in receiving yards, receptions and targets a season ago. With Allen Robinson and Jimmy Graham departing, there’s a chance we see Kmet take another step forward as he enters Year 3. With the lack of receiving threats in Chicago, Kmet should continue to be the No. 2 option in this offense in 2022.
2022 Fantasy Downside
Kmet went all of 2021 without scoring a touchdown, which isn’t great as that’s usually the category where tight ends shine. Kmet also has a knack for some really bad games, finishing below 20 receiving yards five times last season. He also rarely has big games, finishing above 50 yards just three times last year.
2022 Bottom Line
We expect Kmet to mostly repeat what he did a year ago. He was already the No. 2 option last year, and he’ll continue in that role in 2022. Kmet was fairly consistent with his production, with a few highs and a few lows. He finished between 40-50 yards in 35% of his games last season. He averaged 3.5 receptions for 36.0 yards per game, which is around what we project for him this year as well. We do expect him to improve as a red zone threat, though. With Graham gone, Kmet will likely absorb his touchdowns (3-4) this year. Kmet should be viewed around the TE15 range, and is available as a late-round flier in fantasy drafts.