Streaming Tight Ends: Week 16 Targets

Streaming Tight Ends: Week 16 Targets

By TJ Hernandez (Associate Editor), last update Dec 22, 2015

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TJ is a former full-time poker player who has been playing fantasy football for more than a decade. After online poker was outlawed, TJ ended his poker career and dedicated himself to fantasy football. His background in poker statistics and analytics translates to success in both daily and season-long fantasy football.

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In case you are new to tight end streaming, the idea is to identify a waiver wire tight end with a favorable matchup likely to post TE1 caliber fantasy points. The foundation for the matchup research is 4for4’s Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) metric. As the season progresses and more data is available, aFPA gets more and more reliable, using rolling 10-week data. Volume and efficiency metrics are also considered when searching the waivers for tight end streamers. 

Week 15 saw Zach Ertz and Eric Ebron post TE1 numbers, while Richard Rodgers struggled, which has been the case most of the season if he doesn’t find the end zone. After 15 games, streaming picks are averaging 8.9 PPR fantasy points per game, while optimal plays have posted an average of 13.9 PPR points per week, which equates to the TE8 on the season.

Streaming candidates must be available in at least 40% of Yahoo leagues, in order to ensure that the picks are readily available in most leagues. As always, be sure to consider 4for4’s weekly rankings in case a highly ranked player is still available in your league.

Here are the top streaming options for Week 16:


Zachary Miller @ Tampa Bay

Zachary Miller has at least six targets in four of his last five games and is coming off of consecutive double digit PPR games. Miller has posted borderline TE1 numbers with Martellus Bennett out, and, this week, he gets one of the most favorable tight end matchups of the season against Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have allowed 17.4 schedule adjusted PPR points to tight ends, the second worst total in the league. Miller is available in 66 percent of Yahoo leagues.

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