PropSwap Buys of the Week: Final Four Futures

Mar 17, 2022
PropSwap Buys of the Week: Final Four Futures

March Madness has begun!

The first full day of the NCAA Tournament kicks off today with 16 incredible matchups. There will be a mix of favorites and underdogs advancing to the Round of 32, with 16 more teams joining after Friday night's action. NCAA Tournament futures provide fantastic opportunities savvy college hoops bettors can capitalize on before the opening round action affects the value. A team's path to the Final Four can seemingly become much easier after several upsets, so now is the time to identify the best values on PropSwap.

PropSwap is an open marketplace where you can post tickets and make them available via a straight sale or a bidding process. In many ways, PropSwap is an eBay for sports tickets. It is the perfect resource for bettors who are looking to escape from an unfavorable bet or sacrifice a big payday to lock in a more modest gain. If you buy a ticket on PropSwap, it is sent to you via certified mail. If your ticket wins, it must be redeemed at a licensed sportsbook. The typical expiration date is six months or 180 days.

Each week I will examine what's available on PropSwap and highlight tickets to buy. Never used PropSwap before? Sign up today with promo code 4FOR4 to get a first-time deposit match up to $500 plus a Move The Line NFL t-shirt! (Example: Deposit $500 today, get an immediate $500 bonus for a total of $1,000 bankroll.)

Kansas to Reach the Final Four

  • PropSwap Odds: 1.83/1
  • Current Odds: +150 (PointsBet)
  • Ticket Cost: $36
  • Win: $102

Somehow, No. 1 seed Kansas is still flying under the radar.

I wrote about a PropSwap ticket on Kansas to reach the Final Four just two weeks ago that carried a value of 2.69 to 1. That proved to be a fantastic buying opportunity, as those odds have now dropped to a sportsbook consensus of +150. If you missed out on that buying opportunity, PropSwap still has another opportunity to beat the market on Kansas to reach Bill Self's fourth Final Four with the Jayhawks.

Kansas is the sixth-most efficient offense in the country, while also carrying the 28th-most efficient defense, per KenPom. The Jayhawks have an All-American player in Ochai Agbaji (19.7 PPG, 40.5% 3P), a quality post-presence in David McCormack (10.1 PPG, 7.1 RPG), and a deep roster with a cadre of five-star recruits. With this year's NCAA Tournament featuring flawed top seeds, it's shocking the public does not believe more in the Jayhawks.

The Jayhawks are in the same region with a questionable No. 4 seed in Providence, and should not be upset by either second-round opponents in offensively limited San Diego State or a Creighton team playing without their star freshman point guard. Their potential Elite Eight matchup could be a young and inexperienced Wisconsin team or No. 2 seed Auburn, who enter this tournament losing three of their last six games.

You still have one more chance to beat the market on a PropSwap ticket that is currently 1.83-to-1. It's incredible Kansas is living in the shadow of teams such as Gonzaga, Arizona, and Baylor, when the Jayhawks finished with a 28-6 record, a 16th Big 12 regular-season title under Self, and a Big 12 conference tournament championship. Grab the Jayhawks now.

Kentucky to Reach the Final Four

  • PropSwap Odds: 1.83/1
  • Current Odds: +175 (PointsBet)
  • Ticket Cost: $36
  • Win: $102

Kentucky's disappointing loss in the SEC Tournament to Tennessee has killed some of the confidence in John Calipari's Wildcats. Kentucky actually lost two of three matchups with the Volunteers this year, as well as their only matchup with Auburn. The Wildcats finished 14-4 in the conference, tied with Tennessee for second place, just one game behind the Tigers.

However, Kentucky still has an overall metrics resume that fits a National Champion. Calipari teams are always strong on defense and great on the boards. This season, the Wildcats again rank inside the top 25 in adjusted defensive efficiency, per KenPom, while ranking fourth-best in the nation in offensive rebounding. The foundation of their great Final Four runs has always been three-point shooting, and Kentucky is again hitting from deep at an elite rate. While they only rank 94th in the nation overall at 34.9% this season, the Wildcats scalded the nets at a 36.9% (first in the SEC) rate against conference opponents. The addition of Davidson graduate transfer Kellan Grady (11.5 PPG, 42.6% 3P) has been a huge addition to the explosive Kentucky offense.

The Wildcats reside in the East region, with the weakest overall No. 1 seed in Baylor. The Bears are still battling injuries and will be without leading scorer LJ Cryer (13.5 PPG, 46.8% 3P) for an unknown amount of time. Cryer last played on February 16th and continues to be sidelined with a foot injury.

The key to successful betting is winning on the margins, and this PropSwap ticket gives us just enough extra value to take a ticket on the Wildcats. With Calipari's tournament experience, and potential National Player of the Year in Oscar Tshiebwe (17.0 PPG, 15.1 RPG) leading the way, Kentucky is primed for yet another Final Four run.


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