Sam Hoppen: 2 Week 5 Player Props I'm Betting

While lines have gotten slightly sharper over the last year, player props remain one of the most exploitable markets in betting. Using 4for4's industry-leading projections, below you will find some props I found to be particularly valuable across several sportsbooks for Week 5.

If you want to find your own props to bet on, check out our NFL Player Prop tool and NFL Player Prop Stat Explorer.

Note: All lines posted were accurate at the time of being posted in our subscriber Discord.

More Week 5 Props: Connor Allen | Ryan Noonan

Week 5 Player Prop Bets

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Henry Ruggs Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (DraftKings -115)

The Raiders have been a nice surprise to start the season, and Henry Ruggs has not been left behind. The second-year receiver is averaging 74.3 receiving yards per game and looks as good as he has in his short career. What's helped his breakout is Derek Carr leading the league in completed passes thrown at least 20 yards down the field. In fact, on those throws, Ruggs is Derek Carr's favorite target as he leads the team in these deep targets with eight on the season.

Ruggs has eclipsed the 47.5-yard mark in all but one game this year, and he finished with 46 yards in that one game (Week 1). What's led to the Raiders' success is how pass-heavy they have been as they are currently ranked sixth in the league in pass rate over expectation. Not to mention, this Bears defense is not what it once was.

Risk: 1.15 units to win 1 unit on DraftKings.

Jalen Hurts Over 30.5 Passing Attempts (PointsBet -115)

I mentioned the Raiders have a high pass rate over expectation, but the Philadelphia Eagles are passing even more relative to expectation as they rank second in the league in pass rate over expected. They are underdogs to the Panthers, who are currently one of the hottest teams in the league, which suggests the Eagles will need to pass the ball to keep pace.

Hurts has eclipsed the 30.5-attempt mark in three of four games this season and we have him projected for nearly 35 attempts this week. Though Hurts is always a threat to run the ball, if he had thrown the ball on every dropback this year he would have hit this mark in every game, and he's averaging 43 total dropbacks per game. The bonus here is that we don't need Hurts to be efficient with his attempts, he just needs to pass it enough and we get there.

Risk: 1.15 units to win 1 unit on PointsBet.

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