Week 13 at Dallas Cowboys
This is not your typical Thursday night game with teams coming off short rest, after Dallas and Washington played on Thanksgiving. Josh Doctson continues to come so close to monster fantasy lines, too. On Thanksgiving, he had a huge gainer wiped out by a pass interference but still managed to score a touchdown and is averaging 9.7 PPR points in his last four games. Dallas is also ranked just 28th in aFPA vs. WRs this season. Doctson is a viable FLEX play or WR3 for those in need in Week 13.
Week 12 vs. New York Giants
Last week we told you Josh Doctson was so close to a breakout, as he had just missed two touchdowns in Week 10. He's a viable FLEX option in Week 12, after a 4-81 line last week on 7 targets. He's also averaging more than 15 yards per reception. Doctson is a big play waiting to happen against a Giants defense that is just 20th in our aFPA vs. WR rankings.
Week 11 at New Orleans Saints
This has the making of a shootout for Washington's offense, as Vegas has placed the second-highest total on this game for Week 11 at 51 points. Despite being underdogs, Washington is still in the top half of implied team totals this week. Plus, Josh Doctson's 4-30-0 (on 7 targets) line last week is deceptive, as he barely missed on two touchdowns. However, CB Marshon Lattimore may cover Doctson, and he's been an absolute eraser in his rookie year. Doctson feels like more of a bench stash given his near misses, ahead of a juicy matchup in Week 12 against the Giants.
Week 10 vs. Minnesota Vikings
No Washington wideout is a viable fantasy option in Week 10. Josh Doctson may still be a good stash, though, coming off a season-high 89% of snaps and 5 targets. If anybody is going to emerge to have meaningful value down the stretch, it is the former first-rounder Doctson. However, the Vikings have good corners, even if they are just middle of the road in our aFPA vs. WR rankings.
Week 9 at Seattle Seahawks
Despite all the rumblings Washington wants to get Josh Doctson more snaps, it doesn't seem Kirk Cousins trusts him enough yet to be fantasy relevant, evidenced by Doctson's 5 receptions on just 11 targets over the past three games. He belongs on your bench in a tough Seattle matchup.
Week 8 vs. Dallas Cowboys
Josh Doctson is an interesting WR3 flier in Week 8, as he played a season-high 84% of the snaps last week, taking Terelle Pryor's starting spot. He didn't do much with them, but it's obvious they want to get this former first-round pick more involved moving forward. The Cowboys also present a great matchup, ranking 24th in our aFPA vs. WR rankings. This is also the game with the highest over/under of Week 8. You could do worse than Doctson if you are in need of help on a heavy bye week. Just know his floor is low this week.
Week 7 at Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles are 26th in our aFPA vs. WR rankings, but it looks like they will be getting starting corner Ronald Darby back this week. Josh Doctson isn't playing enough to be a fantasy starter, but he makes for an interesting bench stash with Washington's current starting wideouts struggling.
Week 1 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Josh Doctson will likely only play in 3-WR sets, barring an injury to Terrelle Pryor or Jamison Crowder. In two games last year, the Eagles allowed a horrendous 36.5 and 41.8 PPR points to Washington receivers. DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon are gone. So, Doctson could be a beneficiary if Washington can look better than it did in the preseason. However, Doctson is fourth in the Washington pecking order after Pryor, Crowder, and tight end Jordan Reed. You can't start him with any confidence.
Fantasy Upside
The former first round-pick out of Baylor is now listed as a starter on Washington's depth chart with the departure of Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson in free agency. Doctson's size (6-foot-2) could also make him a new red zone target for Kirk Cousins, who regressed in that area from 2015 to 2016.
Fantasy Downside
Doctson missed all but two games last season, which means nobody really knows if he is any good in an offense with three established weapons in this league—Terrelle Pryor, Jamison Crowder, and Jordan Reed.
2017 Bottom Line
Doctson is a deep sleeper in best-ball leagues. It's hard to envision enough week-to-week consistency in redraft leagues. In those formats, it's best to take a wait-and-see approach.
Fantasy Upside
Josh Doctson has all the tools to be a top receiver. He's coming off a college career where he caught 180 balls for 2,785 yards and 29 TDs. He's 6-2 and considered an excellent route runner, good catcher with solid hands and enough speed for the outside. There's a chance Doctson could jump right into the mix for the Skins this year. Washington is a team that struggled to run the ball a year ago, and some expect the same to happen this year which means they'll turn to the pass and at that point it may be hard to keep Doctson off the field.
Fantasy Downside
Doctson is part of a crowd in Washington at WR. DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon should garner most of the targets and Jamison Crowder also proved to be reliable last season when needed. Doctson is also coming off a late-season wrist injury in 2015 which may have some impact on him. Some say his college numbers are inflated because of the offense. Don't forget, Jordan Reed is another big target so even if Doctson is on the field as a third WR, he's likely the fourth target.
Bottom Line
It seems like the team is going to groom Doctson this year, so he may not have an immediate impact. However, Jackson is known to be injury prone so maybe Doctson eventually sees a bump in playing time sooner than later. For now, Doctson is probably third on the depth chart. He's ranked 65th on our list but has an ADP of the 11th round, that's a good 6-7 earlier than guys around him in our ranking like Jermaine Kearse (64th, 18.05 ADP) and Mike Wallace (67th, 17.02 ADP). Owners are obviously banking on Doctson having a bigger role, but guys like Vincent Jackson, Travis Benjamin and Josh Gordon, who also have 11th round ADPs, may prove to have more value.
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