Week 15 vs. New England Patriots
Carson Wentz played efficiently against the Texans before the bye last week, throwing for 158 yards and a touchdown while completing 72.7% of his passes. That’s a good recipe for the Colts – who won 31-0 – but is not a great recipe for fantasy managers looking for production at the quarterback position.
This week, Wentz faces a Patriots defense that ranks first in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. In a tough matchup, expect the Colts to try to establish the run game, making Wentz a risky fantasy option. We have him ranked as a lower-end QB2 option, and he should stay on the bench in most leagues.
Week 13 at Houston Texans
Carson Wentz had 306 yards, three touchdowns and a pair of interceptions last week in a loss to the Buccaneers. The Colts had to throw the ball more than they’d like to keep up against the Tampa Bay offense, and Wentz ended up with his second-highest passing attempts (44) of the season. It’s notable that four of his five interceptions this year have come in those two games with over 38 passing attempts.
This week, Wentz faces a Texans defense that ranks 16th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. Wentz threw a pair of touchdowns against them earlier this season, and the only downside of this matchup is the potential for a blowout victory by the Colts, leading to limited pass attempts. Still, he’s been solid enough to consider as a streaming option and we have him ranked as a fringe QB1 this week in a nice matchup.
Week 12 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carson Wentz had only 106 yards and a touchdown against the Bills last week, as the Colts demolished Buffalo with a devastating ground game and a stifling defensive effort. The Colts prefer Wentz to keep his attempts down, and threw the ball just 20 times in the lopsided victory. He’s been very efficient this year, with 18 touchdowns and three interceptions, but he has limited fantasy output over the past two weeks.
This week, Wentz faces a Buccaneers defense that ranks 11th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. We have him ranked as a fringe starter or a solid streaming option, but his limited upside makes him unappealing in most one-quarterback leagues. Fantasy managers desperate for a starter can stream him, but he’s just outside QB1 territory.
Week 11 at Buffalo Bills
Carson Wentz had a down fantasy week against the Jaguars last week, throwing for just 180 yards and zero touchdowns. The Colts instead won with the run game and the defense, which is good for Indianapolis but not great for fantasy rosters that were counting on Wentz as a decent streamer.
This week, Wentz faces a Bills defense that ranks first in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. While the game script could force the Colts into throwing the ball more than they’d like, that hasn’t necessarily been the best result for Wentz, whose efficiency tends to wane when he doesn’t have a running game to back him up. Sit him in a tough matchup.
Week 10 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Carson Wentz had another nice game against the Jets last week, throwing for 272 yards and three touchdowns. It was Wentz’s seventh game – and sixth straight – with multiple touchdown passes and his season TD/Int ratio is an efficient 17/3.
This week, Wentz faces a Jaguars defense that ranks 22nd in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. It should be a great matchup for Wentz, catapulting him into QB1 and high-end streaming territory. We have him just inside our top-10 this week.
Week 9 vs. New York Jets
Carson Wentz had 231 yards, three touchdowns, and two picks in a shootout with the Titans last week. Wentz also added 11 yards on the ground. It was Wentz’s first interception since Week 2, and was also his first game over 40 pass attempts (51). The Colts will likely try to keep those attempts down, but it was good to see him toss three touchdowns to help compensate for the turnovers.
This week, Wentz faces a Jets defense that ranks 24th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. It’s a great matchup and a nice opportunity for the Colts to return to efficiency ball, where Wentz has been successful this season. He’s a decent streaming option or superflex option and we have him ranked just outside of QB1 territory.
Week 8 vs. Tennessee Titans
Carson Wentz had 150 yards and a pair of touchdowns in a win over the 49ers last week. He also added 23 yards and a touchdown on the ground, turning in a nice overall fantasy performance. In two straight victories, Wentz’s pass attempts were under 30 – a recipe I think the Colts would like to continue.
This week, Wentz faces a Titans defense that ranks 26th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. Expect another quality outing from Wentz with limited upside but a nice floor. He’s been pretty efficient this season, which should allow him to put up fringe QB1 numbers in a nice matchup. He’s a good streaming option.
Week 7 at San Francisco 49ers
Carson Wentz had 223 yards and a pair of touchdowns in a lopsided victory over the Texans last week. Wentz didn’t turn the ball over, but he completed just 55% of his passes, down from his season total of 64.2%. Wentz has been tough to bank on, but with nine touchdowns and only one interception, he’s managed to play his way to 16th in fantasy points among quarterbacks this season.
This week, Wentz faces a surprisingly vulnerable 49ers defense that ranks 19th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. Expect another solid outing without much flash, putting him firmly in QB2 territory. That matches his production thus far and seems to be where fantasy managers can slot him moving forward.
Week 6 vs. Houston Texans
Carson Wentz had a nice game against the Ravens last week, throwing for 402 yards and a pair of touchdowns in a narrow loss. Wentz has seven touchdowns and just one interception so far this season, and is completing 65.3% of his passes, giving him upside in good matchups.
This week, Wentz has a nice matchup against a Texans defense that ranks 25th in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. He doesn’t offer enough rushing production or get enough big plays to warrant QB1 status, but we have him ranked in QB2 territory and fantasy managers needing help in 2QB or SuperFlex formats should consider him a decent fill-in option in a nice matchup.
Week 5 at Baltimore Ravens
Carson Wentz had 228 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Dolphins last week, which feels like the ceiling for him. The Colts want to run the ball – Wentz had 32 pass attempts – and Wentz offers little upside as a rusher. This week, Wentz has a tough matchup against a Ravens defense that ranks sixth in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks. Sit him, and leave him on waivers in 1QB leagues.
