Matt Ryan Fantasy Football Week 11 Scouting Report

Matt Ryan
QB
,

Age: 40
Weight: 220 lbs
Height: 6' 4"
College: Boston College

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Depth Chart Ranking: N/A

Pts	PaYds	PaTD	Int	RuYds
0	0	0	0	0

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Scouting report

by Anthony Stalter

· Jul 21, 2018 · 5:46 PM EDT

ATL QB Matt Ryan - 2018 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
One year removed from winning league MVP and finishing as fantasy's QB2, Matt Ryan saw a regression in 2017, dropping to QB15. Everyone remembers Ryan's career-season in 2016 but few recall when the Atlanta signal-caller struggled in his first season under Kyle Shanahan, finishing the 2015 season with just 21 touchdowns and 16 interceptions.

Steve Sarkisian took a lot of heat for Atlanta's offensive performance in 2016 but a regression was bound to happen. He attempted to utilize the same offensive concepts that Shanahan used in 2016 but mostly failed. The Falcons did show improvement offensively in the second half of the season, however, and Sarkisian says he's more comfortable in year two. Assuming Julio Jones' contract dispute doesn't carry into the regular season, Ryan will once again have one of the best supporting casts in football. The team even added outstanding route runner Calvin Ridley in the first round of the draft to complement Jones, Muhammad Sanu, Devonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman, and tight end Austin Hooper. Ryan and Sark should make a better pairing in 2018 and thus, Ryan should see a bump in production from a year ago.

Fantasy Downside

Ryan and the Falcons suffered a significant regression in 2017, with the biggest problems coming in the red zone. Atlanta dropped from first in points per game at 33.8 to 15th in 2017 at 22.1. Ryan also saw his touchdown rate drop from 7.1 percent to 3.8 percent. While the players are culpable for that regression, Sarkisian was at the root of the team's red zone woes. Despite fans' pleas to get Jones the ball more inside the 20, one could argue Sark relied too heavily on passes to wide receivers. If Sarkisian doesn't improve his playcalling inside the red area, it won't matter how many weapons Ryan has around him, his fantasy production will remain tempered.

2018 Bottom Line

Ryan suffered a regression in 2016 but it's not as if his production completely fell off the map. His completion rate (64.7%) and yards per pass attempt (7.7) were in line with his career numbers. If his touchdown rate jumps back to his career norm of 4.6 percent, then he'll be well worth a selection on draft night. In fact, given his current ADP of 12.05 in 10-team leagues, Ryan is a great value pick heading into fantasy drafts this season. Much like his MVP season in 2016, he's a positive regression candidate for 2018.

by Anthony Stalter

· Jan 12, 2018 · 11:38 AM EST

ATL QB Matt Ryan - Divisional Round Fantasy Football Outlook

Divisional Round at Philadelphia Eagles

Matt Ryan completed 21-of-30 passes for 218 yards and a touchdown in the Falcons’ Wild Card victory over the Rams. Ryan’s lone touchdown pass was a perfectly-timed and positioned pop-up to Julio Jones as his back foot was sliding backward on wet grass. Ryan didn’t post eye-popping numbers but he was extremely efficient despite being under siege by Aaron Donald all night.

The Falcons will head to Philadelphia this Saturday afternoon to take on an Eagles defense that ranks fifth against fantasy quarterbacks. Atlanta is likely to have a similar game plan this week to the one it put together last week: run the ball and use the short passing game as an extension of the run. Tom Brady, Case Keenum, and Ben Roethlisberger are better options in DFS than Ryan, who is our No. 4 ranked QB for the Divisional Round. That said, while his ceiling might not be very high, Ryan’s floor isn’t low.

by Anthony Stalter

· Jan 05, 2018 · 10:53 AM EST

ATL QB Matt Ryan - Wild Card Round Fantasy Football Outlook

Wild Card Round at Los Angeles Rams

Matt Ryan completed 28-of-45 passes for 317 yards and 1 touchdown while also adding 3 rushes for 14 yards in the Falcons' Week 17 win over the Panthers. The victory propelled Atlanta into the playoffs, where the team will face the Rams in the Wild Card round. After finishing as fantasy's No. 2-rated quarterback in 2016, Ryan dropped all the way to fantasy's QB15 in 2017. It didn't help that his receivers dropped 4.7% of their targets this season, which ranked 28th in the league.

Ryan ranks as our No. 6 QB in the Wild Card round. Much like during the regular season, he's not an awful play but he offers limited upside. Cam Newton, Drew Brees, Jared Goff, Alex Smith and even Blake Bortes are better fantasy starts this weekend.

by Anthony Stalter

· Dec 29, 2017 · 9:58 AM EST

ATL QB Matt Ryan - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs. Carolina Panthers

Matt Ryan completed 22-of-36 passes for 288 yards with one touchdown and one interception in the Falcons’ Week 16 loss to the Saints. Ryan’s lone interception wasn’t his fault, as a great pass went off Marvin Hall’s hands and landed on the backside of a defender. The ball then laid there until a New Orleans defender picked it up for an interception.

Regardless, Ryan was good but not great. That seems to sum up his 2017 season. The Falcons have been in a fog since the Super Bowl and have never turned it up and the same goes for Ryan, who has been a low-end QB1 in fantasy all year. That will be the case on Sunday when the Falcons host the Panthers with a playoff berth on the line. Ryan ranks as our QB10 against Carolina’s No. 15-ranked defense against fantasy quarterbacks. View him as a low-end QB1.

by Anthony Stalter

· Dec 21, 2017 · 4:09 PM EST

ATL QB Matt Ryan - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 at New Orleans Saints

Matt Ryan completed 17-of-31 passes for 212 yards and 1 touchdown in the Falcons' Week 15 win over the Buccaneers. It was a pedestrian performance from Ryan, who has regressed following his MVP campaign in 2016. Even against a Tampa defense that was without three key defenders in linebacker Lavante David, defensive tackle Gerald McCoy, and cornerback Vernon Hargreaves, Ryan barely got over the 200-yard mark and his lone touchdown went to Justin Hardy in the first quarter.

We would strongly recommend avoiding Ryan in Week 16. The Saints rank eighth against fantasy quarterbacks this season and despite the potential of a shootout in New Orleans this Sunday, Ryan has thrown for over 300 yards just three times this season. Ranked as our No. 14 QB for Week 16, Ryan is nothing more than a low-end QB1 in deeper leagues this weekend.

by Anthony Stalter

· Dec 15, 2017 · 12:32 AM EST

ATL QB Matt Ryan Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matt Ryan completed 15-of-27 passes for 221 yards with 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions in the Falcons' Week 14 win over the Saints. Atlanta's defense had to overcome both Drew Brees and Ryan, who was atrocious until the fourth quarter. One interception wasn't his fault, as tight end Austin Hooper had a pass go off his hands and straight into the arms of a defender. That said, the other two picks were all Ryan, who gave one gift to Marshon Lattimore and the other to Marcus Williams. Apparently, Ryan wanted to make sure the two New Orleans corners got their presents early this year.

Ryan has thrown for just 394 yards and 1 touchdown over his last two starts. He'll face the Bucs' No. 14 ranked defense against fantasy quarterbacks on Monday night when the Falcons travel to Tampa. Ranked as our No. 10 QB for Week 15, Ryan is nothing more than a low-end QB1. He hasn't resembled the signal-caller that won the MVP last year.

by Anthony Stalter

· Dec 05, 2017 · 9:37 PM EST

ATL QB Matt Ryan - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 vs. New Orleans Saints

Matt Ryan completed 16-of-29 passes for 173 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions in the Falcons' 14-9 loss to the Vikings in Week 13. Ryan didn't play poorly but he failed to make enough big plays in a game in which the Falcons' high-powered offense was completely shut down. The game marked the end of Ryan's streak of at least one touchdown pass in 28 straight games, which was tied for 10th all-time.

The Falcons have a pivotal matchup with the Saints on Thursday night in Atlanta. New Orleans ranks 10th against fantasy quarterbacks this season, so while the matchup isn't as difficult as the one last week, it's still best to avoid Ryan if possible. Ranked as our No. 11 QB for Week 14, see if Jared Goff or Ben Roethlisberger are on your waiver wire to stream. They're better options for your fantasy playoffs.