Jason Witten is gone and that means Blake Jarwin should take over as the starting tight end in Dallas this season. Jarwin’s opportunities have been limited to this point in his career but he has shown flashes of talent when given the chance. Jarwin attracted a modest 41 targets in 2019, but he turned those into 8.9 yards per target (sixth among tight ends) and 2.37 yards per pass route (eighth among tight ends). Witten leaving in free agency should bring an increase in snaps and targets for Jarwin this season. Jarwin’s outlook is also bolstered by him being attached to a Cowboys’ offense that looks poised to be one of the best in the league in 2020. Jarwin’s size (6-foot-5) translates well to the red zone and his ceiling will grow substantially if the Cowboys decide to feature him near the goal line.
The primary concern for Jarwin is his spot in the pecking order of the Dallas offense. The Cowboys are loaded at the skill positions outside of Jarwin, meaning he will likely be no better than the fourth or fifth option in the passing game. The dynamic wide receiver trio of Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and Ceedee Lamb will soak up a massive portion of Dak Prescott’s targets, so there is a real chance Jarwin is left fighting for scraps with running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard. Jarwin will have his role, but there are simply too many mouths to feed in the Dallas passing game to have confidence he will provide consistent production.
2020 Bottom Line
Jarwin possesses intriguing upside but faces the possibility of playing a bit part in the high-powered Dallas offense. An injury to any one of Cooper, Gallup, or Lamb would improve his outlook substantially. As it stands, Jarwin is an intriguing flier for those that like to wait until the late rounds to take a tight end, but he also has a low floor and should not be counted on as a weekly fantasy starter.