NFL Spread and O/U Picks: Hunter's Week 1 Best Bets
I’m back! Real life took more of my time during the summer months than usual this year, but I finally sat down long enough to update rosters, make a few adjustments, and clean up my spreadsheet to hopefully allow me to get bets out a little earlier in the week and in less time on Sundays and Mondays.
The biggest adjustment made to my actual numbers for this year was a minor tweak on how I was calculating positional z-scores to produce my weekly numbers. I believe I was giving too much credit to the top few groups and too little credit to the bottom few groups in a few areas. I made these changes so they run concurrently with the old way of making numbers, so if they both align with the same side, I can fire away. If they are split on this side, I'll exercise more caution early on. I also automated more of my weekly ‘What to bet’ page to have more of the data I use for writing in one location instead of being scattered across tabs/websites. That said, I have a little over a week left before Week 1 NFL Sunday, in which I will be writing up as many Week 1 bets as I can get out.
PS: Thank you to all who have reached out over the last few days/weeks. Let’s take down the hardest betting market out there.
2025 NFL Week 1 Sides and Totals
