Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Ben Roethlisberger would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 82 yards below average)

2) Tom Brady would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 56 yards above average)

3) DeSean Jackson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 20 yards below average)

4) Matthew Stafford projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

5) LeSean McCoy 9.9 fantasy points (actual 9.5)

6) Golden Tate 7.0 receptions (actual = 7)

7) Cam Newton 222 passing yards (actual 219)

8) Kyle Rudolph 37 receiving yards (actual 39)

9) Charles Clay 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

10) Kirk Cousins would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 359)

11) Russell Wilson 23.1 fantasy points (actual 23.4)

12) Josh Gordon 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

13) Travis Kelce 80 receiving yards (actual 79)

14) Carlos Hyde would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 53 yards below average)

15) Kelvin Benjamin 47 receiving yards (actual 45)

16) Donte Moncrief 52 receiving yards (actual 54)

17) James White 15.6 fantasy points (actual 15.4)

18) Adam Thielen 16.6 fantasy points (actual 15.8)

19) Willie Snead 49 receiving yards (actual 54)

20) Taylor Gabriel 56 receiving yards (actual 52)

21) Todd Gurley 25.2 fantasy points (actual 25.5)

22) David Johnson 107 total yards (actual 100 yards)

23) Nelson Agholor 53 receiving yards (actual 49)

24) Jesse James would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 37 yards below average)

25) Carson Wentz 22.7 fantasy points (actual 22.6)

26) Alex Collins 10.3 fantasy points (actual 10.3)

27) Kenyan Drake 37 receiving yards (actual 37)

28) Laquon Treadwell 26 receiving yards (actual 25)

29) Mitch Trubisky would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 46 yards below average)

30) Patrick Mahomes 318 passing yards (actual 303)

31) Kareem Hunt 35 receiving yards (actual 36)

32) George Kittle 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

33) Matt Breida would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 30 yards below average)

34) Antonio Callaway 37 receiving yards (actual 36)

35) Jason Croom 14 receiving yards (actual 14)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 8 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 280 2.3 296 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 217 1.8 269 1.8 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 241 0.9 202 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 8 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 134 1.0 116 1.1 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 100 1.1 77 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 35 0.2 43 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 8 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 89 0.5 90 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 50 0.2 63 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 46 0.4 47 0.4 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2018, w9