• Tom Brady
  • QB
  • , New England Patriots
  • 43
  • 225 lbs
  • 6' 4"
PtsPaYdsPaTDIntRuYds
264405724834

Full Season Projection

  • Full Season Projection
  • Dfs Projection
  • $
  • -
  • -
  • $
  • -
  • -
  • $
  • -
  • -
  • $
  • -
  • -
  • Left-scroll
  • middle-scroll
  • Right-scroll

Scouting report

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 17 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 17 vs Miami Dolphins
Tom Brady faced an extremely challenging matchup in Week 16 against a Bills defense allowing the fifth-fewest aFPA to quarterbacks and emerged with 271 passing yards and a touchdown, which made him the week's number 12 quarterback. He's also the fantasy QB12 overall through 15 games, and the offensive success that the Patriots achieved against the Bills is a good sign for their scoring prospects this week and moving forward.

The Dolphins visit Foxborough in Week 17, and they rank 29th in aFPA to quarterbacks. Teams opposing the Dolphins have averaged 35 points scored over the last six weeks, and unless the Chiefs lose to the Chargers, the Patriots will need to win this game to secure the number two seed and a first-round bye. The Dolphins have also struggled against the run (24th in running back aFPA), which is really the only potential hindrance to Brady's fantasy success. Brady's inviting matchup along with the game's playoff implications for the Patriots make him a great bet for a QB1 performance.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 16 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 16 vs Buffalo Bills
Tom Brady has started 14 games in 2019. He finished as a QB1 in seven games, a QB2 in five games, and just outside of a QB2 finish in two games. He hasn't been the fantasy asset of years past and has had just one top-five fantasy week in 2019. Against a Bengals defense in the bottom-ten in aFPA to quarterbacks, Brady threw for just 128 total yards and two touchdowns, as the Patriots rode a run-heavy gameplan to victory.

Brady's Week 15 opponent, the Buffalo Bills, is one of the only two teams to have prevented Brady from finishing a matchup outside of the top-24 fantasy quarterbacks, holding Brady to 3.7 fantasy points in Week 4. Buffalo ranks sixth in quarterback aFPA, while the Patriots passing offense has continued to struggle to find consistency. Brady is an easy fade as a starter in Week 16.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 15 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 15 at Cincinnati Bengals
Tom Brady has his worst fantasy performance of the season against the Chiefs in Week 14, finishing as the week's QB26 on 169 yards passing with one touchdown and one interception. New England's wide receivers share some responsibility in the outcome, regularly failing to create separation from defenders, but Brady also did his part making some uncharacteristically poor decisions. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels has repeatedly proven his ability to maximize the strengths of his offensive core, but a massive improvement seems unlikely with just a few weeks left in the regular season.

The Patriots travel to Cincinnati to face the Bengals in Week 15, a defense that ranks 27th in aFPA to quarterbacks. Brady has finished as a top 12 quarterback in every game in which he's faced a defense ranked 20th or worse in quarterback aFPA in 2019, but it's hard to ignore the offensive inefficiency the Patriots have displayed over the past four weeks. The Bengals have looked somewhat improved defensively over the past four games, having only allowed two passing touchdowns in that span, making Brady a risky start as a QB1 and a more likely QB2 for Week 15.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 14 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 14 vs Kansas City Chiefs
Despite a loss to the Texans in Week 14 and a Patriots offense that struggled as a whole to find success until late in the game, Tom Brady finished quite well for fantasy purposes, ranking as Week 13's fantasy QB6. Brady now ranks as the QB10 for the season, and despite a wide receiver group that's seen a number of starters come and go and now includes two rookies as key contributors, he remains fantasy-viable.

Brady and the Patriots face a Chiefs defense that ranks 21st in quarterback hits, yet 12th in sack percentage at 7.4%. This indicates a defensive front that isn't creating constant pressure but is very good at converting pressures to sacks. Brady's had issues in games where he's being knocked down repeatedly, but this game doesn't project to be one of those. Kansas City ranks 17th in aFPA to quarterbacks, but 31st in aFPA to running backs, which would normally encourage New England to implement a run-heavy game plan. Kansas City's dominant offense and New England's need to potentially keep up with their scoring pace should prevent this somewhat, making Brady a good bet as a low-end QB1 start.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 13 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 13 at Houston Texans
Tom Brady performed quite well in the Patriots' Week 12 matchup against the Cowboys, a rain-soaked affair in which receivers for both teams were dropping passes at an extremely high rate. For Fantasy purposes, Brady's 190 passing yards along with a touchdown weren't very useful, good for a QB17 performance for the week. Two of Brady's three wide receivers were rookies against a skilled Dallas secondary, so Brady's statistical output should certainly rise moving forward.

Brady will face an alluring matchup with a Houston defense in Week 13 allowing the ninth-highest aFPA to quarterbacks. The Texans are pressuring opposing quarterbacks at the lowest rate among all 32 teams, and they've also struggled in coverage. Five out of the last seven quarterbacks to face them have thrown three or more touchdowns. If Mohamed Sanu and Philip Dorsett return from injury as expected, Brady will have his full complement of receiving options, which would make him a QB1 option for the week. If either receiver (or both) were to miss the game, expectations for Brady should be lowered a bit to a high-end QB2 return.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 12 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 12 vs Dallas Cowboys
Tom Brady faced the Eagles in Week 11 coming off of a Week 10 bye, but neither he nor the Patriots passing offense as a whole was able to take advantage of what appeared to be an inviting matchup. His 216-yard passing performance ranked him as the QB23 for the week, and the QB10 overall. Brady's receiving corps has undergone numerous changes through ten games, and New England's offensive line has been missing its starting center and left tackle through Week 11.

Brady will get left tackle Isaiah Wynn back for Week 12, which is a significant upgrade for New England's offensive line. Unfortunately, it appears that a minor injury will keep Mohamed Sanu from playing, leaving Julian Edelman and two rookie wide receivers in Jakobi Meyers and N'Keal Harry as the starting trio. Brady will face a Cowboys defense that's been about league-average in aFPA to quarterbacks but has a strong secondary and above-average pass rush. Wynn's return might be more of a boost for the Patriots rushing attack than its passing game this week. Brady's still startable as a QB1 but close to the bottom of that tier against Dallas.

by Andrew Fleischer

NE QB Tom Brady - Week 11 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 11 at Philadephia Eagles
Prior to his Week 10 bye, Tom Brady went up against a Ravens defense in Week 9 that leads the NFL in blitz percentage at 49.4%. Baltimore pressured Brady heavily, and it worked extremely well, limiting him to 285 total yards with a touchdown and an interception despite 46 pass attempts (his highest total in a game this season). Brady finished as Week 9's QB20, and following the Patriots' bye, he ranks as the fantasy QB10 overall.

The Patriots face the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 11, a team whose defense blitzes significantly less frequently than the Ravens, and yet pressures opposing quarterbacks at a higher rate. Fortunately for Brady, the Eagles also own a sub-par secondary, and their 17.7 aFPA to quarterbacks is the 12th-most. Brady also has all of his offensive weapons healthy and at his disposal, with red-zone weapon N'Keal Harry expected to see his first snaps of the season and Mohamed Sanu having had five full weeks of practice with which to integrate himself into the Patriots' offense. Against an Eagles team that is far more effective at defending against the run than the pass, expect a Patriots game plan to avoid Philadelphia's strength defensively and attack its weakness, making Brady a good bet for a QB1 performance.

Tom Brady news