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Tuesday, July 10, 2018, 8:56am
According to an article in the Baltimore Sun, Ravens RB Alex Collins looks to be the team's No. 1 RB: "With Terrance West departing for the New Orleans Saints and Danny Woodhead retiring, Alex Collins, who ended last season ranked 11th in the league in rushing with 973 yards, no longer has to worry as much about sharing carries. He enters camp as the favorite to open the regular season as the No. 1 running back. But if Kenneth Dixon can prove that the health of his knee is not a problem, the 2016 fourth-round draft pick could challenge Collins atop the depth chart. Javorius Allen, who caught 46 passes for 250 yards and two touchdowns last season, is a reliable target out of the backfield. Patrick Ricard’s versatility in playing fullback and defensive end is a strength."
Dixon was a hot fantasy commodity before getting suspended and then missing all of last year with an injury. In that time, Collins emerged as the team's top back and looks to be the favorite heading into camp with Dixon having some work to do to catch him. But as our own John Paulsen said: Collins averaged 5.60 YPC in the eight games before Baltimore’s Week 10 bye, and just 3.80 YPC after. His fantasy production was better after the bye (16.7 points per game versus 7.3 before the bye), but as his workload increased, his rushing efficiency dropped. Head coach John Harbaugh would not to commit to Collins as his starter heading into 2018, so this is a situation to monitor.
Posted by Brandon Niles
Thursday, July 19, 2018 - 9:28pm
After falling out of favor with the coaching staff in 2016, Javorius Allen caught 46 passes and finished with a total of 841 yards from scrimmage last season as a complementary back to Alex Collins. He also scored six touchdowns. Allen has soft hands and has demonstrated his ability to catch the ball effectively throughout his short career. He caught 45 passes as a rookie in 2015, and he should be in line for more work on passing downs this year.
Allen hasn’t thrived when given the opportunity to increase his workload, making it unlikely he surpasses his numbers from last year and giving him limited upside. Alex Collins and Kenneth Dixon seem to be the primary ball-carriers heading into the season, even though Allen should remain in the mix for change-of-pace work.
2018 Bottom Line
Allen has some value as a spot-starter or bye-week filler, particularly in PPR formats that take advantage of his work in the passing game. Fantasy owners should consider him more of a low-end bench option in these formats, rather than a legitimate handcuff. If something happens to Collins, Dixon is likely to see an uptick in value, with Allen maintaining a similar workload.
2018 Strength of Schedule - BAL
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
2017 Game Stats
|Per game||9.56||36.94||0.25||0||3.86||2.88||15.63||0.13||3.75||5.43||7.51||10.38||29.06/67.88||42.84% |