Week 17 vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Eagles have locked up home-field advantage in the postseason, and head coach Doug Pederson has indicated his offensive starters will not play the entire game Week 17. It's impossible to know how much Alshon Jeffery will play. For that reason alone, he is not a starting consideration in Week 17.
Week 16 vs. Oakland Raiders
The Eagles play Christmas night (Monday), and anybody with Eagles players must be aware that Doug Pederson has hinted this week of resting starters if/when the Eagles lock up home field advantage. If the Vikings lose Saturday (a long shot at Green Bay without Aaron Rodgers), the Eagles will have already done that. Otherwise, the Eagles currently have the third-highest team total in Vegas this week, and the Raiders are poor against WRs (23rd in aFPA). Jeffery's double-digit targets with Nick Foles last week locks him into WR2 status for Week 16.
Week 15 at New York Giants
The Eagles still have an implied team total in Vegas in the top half of teams this week despite starting back-up QB Nick Foles, and the loss of their starting QB could mean increased volume for the backfield. Here's more concerning news for Alshon Jeffery. According to NFL's Next Gen Stats, Foles has thrown just 5.8% of his passes outside the tackle box the last two seasons compared to 11.7% from Carson Wentz. The matchup is still a good one for Jeffery, but he'll have to be more efficient. Consider him a high-risk WR2/FLEX this week.
Week 14 at Los Angeles Rams
The Eagles-Rams game has the third-highest over/under in Vegas this week at 48 points. Over the last four weeks, the Rams have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards in the league on the fifth-most targets. Overall, the Rams are fifth in our aFPA vs. WR rankings. This is a matchup where Alshon Jeffery is still a WR2 but his ceiling is lower than previous weeks. Tight end Zach Ertz cleared for practice also hurts his ceiling.
Week 13 at Seattle Seahawks
The Eagles have the fourth-highest implied team total of the week at 26.25 points, and Seattle is top-five in aFPA versus RBs. That means the Eagles could rely on Carson Wentz to attack a banged up Seahawks secondary. That's good news for Alshon Jeffery, who is a high-end WR2 or low-end WR1 this week, with Seattle closer to league average in aFPA versus WRs. Jeffery is averaging 9 targets per game in his last three games, with a whopping 5 touchdowns in his last four games. Start him with confidence.
Week 12 vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears are a solid 12th in aFPA vs. WRs this season, but Carson Wentz is looking Alshon Jeffery's way more and more where it counts, with 4 touchdowns to Jeffery in the past three weeks. He's also averaging a solid 8 targets per game this season. Fire up Jeffery as a WR2 in Week 12.
Week 11 at Dallas Cowboys
Alshon Jeffery popped up on the injury report midweek with an ankle injury, one that coach Doug Pederson admitted he's been dealing with for a few weeks. With a Sunday night kickoff, Jeffery owners should ensure they have a back-up plan for Week 11. The matchup is too good though to bench Jeffery early in the day Sunday, unless you really have a similar or better option. He's a WR2 in Week 11.
Week 9 vs. Denver Broncos
The Eagles offense may funnel through pass-catchers this week, with Denver the toughest match-up in our aFPA rankings versus RBs. However, it's no picnic for WRs either, as Denver is fourth in our aFPA vs. WR rankings. Overall, the Broncos have also allowed the fourth-fewest points to the position. These factors add up to Jeffery being a risky low-end WR2 this week, as he's caught 5 passes or more in a game just once this season.
Week 8 vs. San Francisco
Philadelphia has the highest implied total of Week 8 at near 30 points. The 49ers are a plus matchup for WRs, ranked just 18th in our aFPA vs. WR rankings, but Jeffery is finding himself third in the Carson Wentz target pecking order in recent weeks, behind Zach Ertz and Nelson Agholor. Because of the relatively even target distribution, Jeffery can be considered no more than a low-end WR2 in Week 8—but with upside from there, given the matchup.
Week 7 vs. Washington
Shutdown corner Josh Norman returns this week, which could cap Jeffery's ceiling on Monday Night Football. Washington is second in our aFPA vs. WR rankings. It's a difficult matchup, as this team is an impressive fourth in PPR points allowed to WRs this season. Downgrade Jeffery to a risky WR2 in Week 7.
