Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Philip Rivers 303 passing yards (actual 313)

2) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

3) Matt Ryan projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

4) Aaron Rodgers 271 passing yards (actual 274)

5) Matthew Stafford 214 passing yards (actual 208)

6) Danny Amendola 31 receiving yards (actual 30)

7) Golden Tate 45 receiving yards (actual 43)

8) Antonio Brown projected receiving TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

9) Kyle Rudolph 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

10) Kirk Cousins projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

11) Russell Wilson 225 passing yards (actual 237)

12) T.Y. Hilton 94 receiving yards (actual 85)

13) Cole Beasley 4.3 fantasy points (actual 4.2)

14) Robert Woods 81 receiving yards (actual 74)

15) Derek Carr 259 passing yards (actual 263)

16) Brandin Cooks 6.3 receptions (actual = 6)

17) Davante Adams 12.6 fantasy points (actual 11.9)

18) Trey Burton 34 receiving yards (actual 36)

19) John Brown would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 47 yards below average)

20) David Johnson 15.5 fantasy points (actual 16.1)

21) Stefon Diggs 11.9 fantasy points (actual 11.8)

22) Tyrell Williams 6.7 fantasy points (actual 7.1)

23) Seth Roberts 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

24) Jared Goff would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 339)

25) Derrick Henry would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 115 yards above average)

26) Jordan Howard 64 rushing yards (actual 60)

27) Mitch Trubisky 246 passing yards (actual 235)

28) Patrick Mahomes projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

29) Christian McCaffrey 17.3 fantasy points (actual 18.0)

30) Alvin Kamara 102 total yards (actual 103 yards)

31) Gerald Everett 4.4 fantasy points (actual 4.6)

32) Calvin Ridley 43 receiving yards (actual 42)

33) Chris Herndon 5.1 fantasy points (actual 5.3)

34) Jeff Wilson 50 rushing yards (actual 46)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 15 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 248 1.2 285 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 205 0.6 250 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 168 0.6 194 1.0 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 15 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 108 0.8 115 1.0 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 90 0.8 78 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 36 0.2 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 15 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 65 0.4 86 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 70 0.1 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 31 0.2 41 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2018, w16