Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees 287 passing yards (actual 281)

2) Joe Flacco would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 102 yards above average)

3) Ben Roethlisberger 294 passing yards (actual 281)

4) Tom Brady 304 passing yards (actual 298)

5) Jay Cutler would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 83 yards above average)

6) Delanie Walker 7.3 fantasy points (actual 7.7)

7) Matthew Stafford projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

8) Demaryius Thomas 64 receiving yards (actual 69)

9) LeGarrette Blount would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 37 yards below average)

10) Emmanuel Sanders 6.4 fantasy points (actual 6.8)

11) Cam Newton 246 passing yards (actual 242)

12) Mark Ingram 80 rushing yards (actual 74)

13) Tyrod Taylor 219 passing yards (actual 224)

14) Alshon Jeffery 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

15) LeVeon Bell would rush for 100+ yards (actual 117)

16) DeAndre Hopkins 79 receiving yards (actual 80)

17) Zach Ertz 52 receiving yards (actual 56)

18) Jack Doyle 52 receiving yards (actual 47)

19) Isaiah Crowell 70 rushing yards (actual 72)

20) Mike Evans 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

21) Cameron Brate 5.2 fantasy points (actual 4.9)

22) Jay Ajayi 88 total yards (actual 89 yards)

23) Jamison Crowder 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

24) Michael Thomas 85 receiving yards (actual 93)

25) Tyreek Hill 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

26) O.J. Howard 32 receiving yards (actual 30)

27) Trent Taylor 42 receiving yards (actual 40)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 15 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 261 1.9 269 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 230 1.6 255 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 235 1.0 215 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 15 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 141 1.7 108 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 81 0.4 84 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.1 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 15 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 51 0.2 83 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 51 0.4 62 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 41 0.2 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w16