Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees 310 passing yards (actual 310)

2) Carson Palmer 291 passing yards (actual 289)

3) Matt Ryan 264 passing yards (actual 269)

4) Ted Ginn 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

5) DeSean Jackson 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

6) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

7) Mike Wallace 59 receiving yards (actual 57)

8) Alex Smith 220 passing yards (actual 220)

9) Jimmy Graham 66 receiving yards (actual 67)

10) Antonio Brown 100 receiving yards (actual 91)

11) Victor Cruz 38 receiving yards (actual 37)

12) Julio Jones would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 76 yards below average)

13) Cam Newton 258 passing yards (actual 246)

14) Tyrod Taylor would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 166)

15) Brock Osweiler 247 passing yards (actual 246)

16) Marvin Jones 53 receiving yards (actual 54)

17) Rishard Matthews 67 receiving yards (actual 64)

18) Cole Beasley 51 receiving yards (actual 56)

19) Theo Riddick 45 rushing yards (actual 45)

20) Tavon Austin 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

21) Cordarrelle Patterson 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

22) DeAndre Hopkins 64 receiving yards (actual 70)

23) Blake Bortles 21.5 fantasy points (actual 21.1)

24) Derek Carr projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

25) Jeremy Hill 85 total yards (actual 82 yards)

26) Carlos Hyde 67 rushing yards (actual 65)

27) Devonta Freeman 64 rushing yards (actual 60)

28) Davante Adams 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

29) Odell Beckham 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

30) C.J. Fiedorowicz 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Terrance West 65 total yards (actual 64 yards)

32) Cameron Brate 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

33) Marcus Mariota 22.8 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

34) Todd Gurley 85 total yards (actual 89 yards)

35) DeVante Parker 66 receiving yards (actual 64)

36) Jamison Crowder 8.9 fantasy points (actual 8.8)

37) Tyrell Williams 70 receiving yards (actual 70)

38) Seth Roberts 32 receiving yards (actual 31)

39) Carson Wentz 257 passing yards (actual 254)

40) Ezekiel Elliott 103 rushing yards (actual 97)

41) Tyler Boyd 61 receiving yards (actual 62)

42) Tyreek Hill 52 receiving yards (actual 52)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 12 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 285 2.4 291 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 251 1.5 261 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 290 2.0 229 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 12 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 98 0.6 111 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 78 0.4 80 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 33 0.2 37 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 12 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 60 0.7 75 0.4 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 71 0.4 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 44 0.4 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w13