Tyrell Williams

Week 2 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Williams took advantage of Antonio Brown’s absence. He finished as the half PPR WR16 with 19.5 fantasy points. He had six receptions on seven targets, 105 yards, one touchdown, 27% of the team targets, and 58% of the team air yards.

The Kansas City secondary is #bad as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric that has them ranked fifth-worst in the NFL. The Raiders could find themselves behind by multiple touchdowns, which would benefit Williams. 4for4 rankings expert, John Paulsen, has him ranked as the half PPR WR19 and is worth flex consideration given the matchup.

Fantasy Upside
Williams was with the Chargers in 2018 but will now be playing alongside Antonio Brown as a member of the Raiders. Williams’ broke out in 2016 with 69, nice, receptions, 1,059 yards, and seven touchdowns. However, he only averaged 42 receptions and 690 yards over the last two years.

4for4’s director of forecasting, John Paulsen, set a median projection of 58 receptions for Williams. An increase in receptions makes sense because Williams does not have to compete for targets with former teammates Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. Also, the Raiders have the highest number of vacated targets, 359, from last season.

Fantasy Downside
Last year, Williams was the perfect example of a boom or bust player. He finished as a WR1 in two games, a WR2 in one game, a WR3 in one game, and a WR4 or worse in 12 games. 36% of his total yards and 60% of his total touchdowns came in a two-game span. This made him a decent asset in best-ball formats but caused headaches for traditional season long managers who had to set weekly lineups.

2019 Bottom Line
Increased opportunity could help Williams become a more consistent player. However, he is unlikely to match his career-high numbers from 2016. He is a good late-round target in best-ball drafts but may continue to cause headaches for managers who have to make weekly start/sit decisions.

Week 17 at Denver Broncos

The Chargers offense will be at full strength in Week 17 with a chance to go from wild-card playoff team to home field advantage and playing against a potential lame duck coach in Denver's Vance Joseph. This is an offense to trust in the final week of the regular season, with an implied team total of 24 after being installed in Vegas as 6-point favorites. The Broncos are ranked third in aFPA to RBs, which could funnel more passes to Chargers receivers, with Denver ranked just 15th in aFPA to WRs. However, Melvin Gordon and Keenan Allen are the primary pass catchers in this offense, and the rest of the Chargers pass catchers have been an afterthought when those two have been healthy this season.