Fantasy Upside
It’s not often you see a player have a breakout season six years after they’re drafted, but that’s exactly what Logan Thomas did last year. After having 35 career receptions to his name prior to last year, Thomas broke out with a 72-670-6 season and saw 110 targets. This led to a contract extension by Washington, which shows the team wants to continue to get him involved. Thomas finished sixth amongst tight ends (half-PPR) last year and is in a position to finish there again in 2021. He gets an improved quarterback situation, and his role should mostly stay the same as he has no competition at tight end on Washington’s depth chart.
Fantasy Downside
The fact Thomas had a breakout season out of nowhere is a little concerning. As 4for4’s John Paulsen said, it’s reminiscent of Gary Barnidge who had a 1,000-yard season in 2015, his seventh year in the NFL, and then was out of the league two years later. Thomas will also have competition for targets, which he didn’t have in 2020. Washington added Curtis Samuel in free agency and drafted Dyami Brown in the third round.
2021 Bottom Line
We don’t expect Thomas to see 110 targets again like he did last year. But we also don’t expect him to pull a Barnidge. Washington gave him a contract extension for a reason, and that’s because they plan on using him at least a little while longer. Thomas is one of the few tight ends who show promise. He’s one of just nine tight ends we have projected to finish with at least 650 receiving yards this season. We fully expect Thomas to finish as a top 10 tight end. His numbers might take a small hit from a year ago, but he should still have a productive season.
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