Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning 292 passing yards (actual 279)

2) Drew Brees projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

3) Joe Flacco would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 180 yards above average)

4) Philip Rivers 22.7 fantasy points (actual 22.7)

5) Ben Roethlisberger would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 452)

6) Matt Ryan 283 passing yards (actual 272)

7) Tom Brady projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

8) Marshawn Lynch 60 rushing yards (actual 65)

9) Frank Gore would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 35 yards below average)

10) Ted Ginn 53 receiving yards (actual 55)

11) Vernon Davis would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 39 yards below average)

12) DeSean Jackson 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

13) Ben Watson 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

14) Danny Amendola 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

15) Demaryius Thomas 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

16) A.J. Green 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

17) Randall Cobb 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Andy Dalton would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 58 yards above average)

19) Tyrod Taylor would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 59 yards above average)

20) Russell Wilson 238 passing yards (actual 226)

21) Lamar Miller 69 rushing yards (actual 68)

22) Marvin Jones 60 receiving yards (actual 54)

23) Jermaine Kearse would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 52 yards below average)

24) Terrance Williams would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 26 yards below average)

25) Zach Ertz 9.1 fantasy points (actual 9.4)

26) Latavius Murray would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 44 yards below average)

27) C.J. Anderson would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 35 yards below average)

28) Jaron Brown 3.5 fantasy points (actual 3.6)

29) Carlos Hyde 10.9 fantasy points (actual 11.0)

30) Mike Evans 79 receiving yards (actual 83)

31) Davante Adams 63 receiving yards (actual 64)

32) Jarvis Landry 74 receiving yards (actual 69)

33) Austin Seferian-Jenkins 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

34) Taylor Gabriel 28 receiving yards (actual 30)

35) Marcus Mariota would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual )

36) Melvin Gordon 35 receiving yards (actual 38)

37) Tevin Coleman would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 60 yards above average)

38) Javorius Allen would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 33 yards below average)

39) Tyler Lockett 57 receiving yards (actual 60)

40) J.J. Nelson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 36 yards below average)

41) Nick Boyle 27 receiving yards (actual 26)

42) Marcus Murphy would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 35 yards below average)

43) Tyrell Williams 48 receiving yards (actual 48)

44) Alex Collins 89 total yards (actual 90 yards)

45) Michael Thomas 92 receiving yards (actual 89)

46) Tyreek Hill 80 receiving yards (actual 90)

47) Joe Mixon 81 rushing yards (actual 84)

48) Alvin Kamara 57 receiving yards (actual 53)

49) Kareem Hunt 85 total yards (actual 80 yards)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 2 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 312 2.5 295 2.2 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 295 2.2 276 1.9 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 194 0.8 177 0.7 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 2 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 83 0.8 96 0.9 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 69 0.3 74 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.1 42 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 2 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 79 0.7 91 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 74 0.5 78 0.6 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 49 0.4 43 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2018, w3