Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees 338 passing yards (actual 356)

2) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

3) Martellus Bennett 46 receiving yards (actual 47)

4) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

5) Delanie Walker 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

6) Kenny Britt would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 65 yards below average)

7) LeSean McCoy 32 receiving yards (actual 34)

8) Demaryius Thomas 69 receiving yards (actual 71)

9) LeGarrette Blount would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 73 yards below average)

10) Emmanuel Sanders 65 receiving yards (actual 62)

11) Julio Jones 107 receiving yards (actual 108)

12) Mark Ingram 73 total yards (actual 76 yards)

13) Andy Dalton 228 passing yards (actual 224)

14) Kamar Aiken 29 receiving yards (actual 31)

15) Kirk Cousins would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 128 yards below average)

16) Lamar Miller 91 total yards (actual 87 yards)

17) T.Y. Hilton would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

18) Travis Benjamin would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 37 yards below average)

19) Jermaine Kearse 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

20) Tavon Austin would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 29 yards below average)

21) Kenny Stills 40 receiving yards (actual 37)

22) DeAndre Hopkins 68 receiving yards (actual 73)

23) Blake Bortles 228 passing yards (actual 223)

24) Jeremy Hill would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 46 yards below average)

25) Mike Evans 81 receiving yards (actual 93)

26) Odell Beckham would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 49 yards below average)

27) Terrance West 10.7 fantasy points (actual 10.5)

28) Dontrelle Inman would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 51 yards below average)

29) Jay Ajayi 12.7 fantasy points (actual 12.6)

30) Jamison Crowder 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Tyler Lockett 6.2 fantasy points (actual 6.4)

32) Ty Montgomery 104 total yards (actual 110 yards)

33) Tyrell Williams 60 receiving yards (actual 54)

34) Adam Humphries would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 23 yards below average)

35) Jordan Howard would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 91 yards below average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 2 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 288 1.7 278 1.5 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 251 1.5 263 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 211 0.6 198 0.9 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 2 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 75 0.8 85 0.4 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 81 0.8 90 0.7 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.2 37 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 2 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 61 0.2 79 0.1 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 66 0.5 62 0.3 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 40 0.2 38 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w3