Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

2) Tom Brady projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

3) Marshawn Lynch 12.4 fantasy points (actual 11.9)

4) Frank Gore would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 43 yards above average)

5) Antonio Gates 42 receiving yards (actual 46)

6) Danny Amendola 43 receiving yards (actual 43)

7) Jermaine Gresham 23 receiving yards (actual 24)

8) Brandon LaFell 38 receiving yards (actual 35)

9) Eric Decker 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

10) Demaryius Thomas 61 receiving yards (actual 57)

11) LeGarrette Blount 37 rushing yards (actual 37)

12) Julio Jones 92 receiving yards (actual 80)

13) Charles Clay 6.2 fantasy points (actual 6.4)

14) Tyrod Taylor 213 passing yards (actual 204)

15) Marvin Jones 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

16) Kenny Stills 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

17) Zach Ertz would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 38 yards below average)

18) Jaron Brown 25 receiving yards (actual 25)

19) Sammy Watkins would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

20) Mike Evans 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

21) Cameron Brate 34 receiving yards (actual 37)

22) Jameis Winston 21.7 fantasy points (actual 21.7)

23) Melvin Gordon 12.9 fantasy points (actual 12.4)

24) Javorius Allen 39 rushing yards (actual 37)

25) Mike Davis 49 rushing yards (actual 48)

26) Amari Cooper 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

27) Nelson Agholor 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

28) Tyrell Williams 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

29) Alex Collins 77 rushing yards (actual 78)

30) Michael Thomas 84 receiving yards (actual 94)

31) Austin Hooper 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

32) Leonard Fournette 69 rushing yards (actual 69)

33) Christian McCaffrey 44 receiving yards (actual 40)

34) Kareem Hunt would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 51 yards below average)

35) Keelan Cole 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 17 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 260 1.9 266 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 230 1.2 255 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 189 0.7 212 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 17 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 92 0.7 108 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 88 0.4 84 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 40 0.2 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 17 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 107 0.5 84 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 58 0.6 61 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 38 0.2 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w18

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