Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning 261 passing yards (actual 273)

2) Philip Rivers 16.2 fantasy points (actual 15.3)

3) Ben Roethlisberger projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

4) Matt Ryan projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

5) Tom Brady 280 passing yards (actual 266)

6) Frank Gore 56 rushing yards (actual 54)

7) DeSean Jackson 8.2 fantasy points (actual 8.2)

8) Delanie Walker 6.6 fantasy points (actual 6.3)

9) Josh McCown 250 passing yards (actual 262)

10) Rob Gronkowski 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

11) Julio Jones 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

12) DeMarco Murray 68 total yards (actual 72 yards)

13) Kyle Rudolph 40 receiving yards (actual 37)

14) Andy Dalton 260 passing yards (actual 265)

15) Doug Baldwin 9.3 fantasy points (actual 9.5)

16) Russell Wilson would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 50 yards below average)

17) Rishard Matthews 55 receiving yards (actual 50)

18) Cole Beasley 25 receiving yards (actual 23)

19) Garrett Celek would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 56 yards above average)

20) Mike Gillislee would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 44 yards below average)

21) LeVeon Bell 31 receiving yards (actual 32)

22) Keenan Allen 4.4 receptions (actual = 4)

23) Russell Shepard 4.2 fantasy points (actual 4.0)

24) C.J. Anderson 51 rushing yards (actual 54)

25) Sammy Watkins 45 receiving yards (actual 41)

26) Marqise Lee 55 receiving yards (actual 55)

27) Davante Adams 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

28) Paul Richardson 39 receiving yards (actual 43)

29) T.J. Jones would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 39 yards below average)

30) Austin Seferian-Jenkins 6.9 fantasy points (actual 6.7)

31) Ameer Abdullah 52 rushing yards (actual 52)

32) Jamison Crowder 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

33) Devin Funchess 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

34) J.J. Nelson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 30 yards below average)

35) Jacoby Brissett 228 passing yards (actual 222)

36) Austin Hooper 45 receiving yards (actual 49)

37) DeShone Kizer projected pass TD 0.9 (actual 1)

38) Cooper Kupp 48 receiving yards (actual 47)

39) Evan Engram 9.0 fantasy points (actual 9.1)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 10 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 250 2.2 267 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 270 1.9 264 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 220 1.2 212 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 10 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 82 0.0 106 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 66 0.6 81 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 42 0.3 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 10 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 73 0.3 79 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 88 0.6 62 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 41 0.1 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w11

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