Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

2) Joe Flacco 15.6 fantasy points (actual 15.1)

3) Frank Gore 8.1 fantasy points (actual 7.7)

4) Ted Ginn 54 receiving yards (actual 59)

5) Vernon Davis 7.2 fantasy points (actual 7.2)

6) Jay Cutler would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 145 yards above average)

7) Matthew Stafford 23.0 fantasy points (actual 22.4)

8) Alex Smith 277 passing yards (actual 263)

9) Brandon LaFell 29 receiving yards (actual 28)

10) Chris Ivory would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 40 yards above average)

11) Julio Jones 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

12) Mark Ingram 74 rushing yards (actual 77)

13) Tyrod Taylor would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 93 yards above average)

14) Kirk Cousins 243 passing yards (actual 247)

15) Russell Wilson projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

16) Lamar Miller 87 total yards (actual 91 yards)

17) Robert Woods 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Travis Kelce 79 receiving yards (actual 73)

19) Davante Adams 50 receiving yards (actual 53)

20) Paul Richardson 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

21) Trey Burton would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 29 yards above average)

22) Ryan Grant 38 receiving yards (actual 39)

23) Marcus Mariota 231 passing yards (actual 218)

24) Ameer Abdullah 9.6 fantasy points (actual 9.7)

25) Amari Cooper 62 receiving yards (actual 58)

26) Devin Funchess 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

27) J.J. Nelson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 37 yards below average)

28) Jacoby Brissett 19.5 fantasy points (actual 19.5)

29) Dak Prescott 263 passing yards (actual 249)

30) Ezekiel Elliott 98 rushing yards (actual 93)

31) Austin Hooper 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

32) Tyreek Hill 71 receiving yards (actual 64)

33) Cooper Kupp 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 9 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 289 2.4 268 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 245 1.5 263 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 241 1.5 211 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 9 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 72 0.6 108 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 76 0.3 82 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 34 0.2 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 9 2017 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 79 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 76 0.5 59 0.3 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 39 0.3 40 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2017, w10