Bales Goes Deep: A Minimalistic Approach to Daily Fantasy Sports
The great Chinese writer and inventor Lin Yutang once remarked, “The wisdom of life consists in the elimination of non-essentials.”
I’m going to use this quote as the basis for this article.
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My Start to DFS
I’ve been pretty transparent about the fact that I sucked at daily fantasy when I first started playing. I didn’t really have much of a plan and I just sort of picked guys with little justification.
Then I realized I wasn’t profitable and decided to change it. So I created a model. It was my first time creating a model and it was awful. I backtested the predictive qualities of pretty much every stat I could find, threw them all together, and thought I was freaking Nate Silver.