Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning 21.0 fantasy points (actual 21.9)

2) Drew Brees 311 passing yards (actual 323)

3) Joe Flacco 253 passing yards (actual 241)

4) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

5) Matt Ryan would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 344)

6) Matt Forte 96 total yards (actual 97 yards)

7) Frank Gore 60 rushing yards (actual 60)

8) Aaron Rodgers 305 passing yards (actual 297)

9) Mike Wallace 4.4 receptions (actual = 4)

10) Victor Cruz 43 receiving yards (actual 46)

11) Julio Jones 101 receiving yards (actual 111)

12) DeMarco Murray 27 receiving yards (actual 29)

13) Randall Cobb 7.5 fantasy points (actual 7.4)

14) Tyrod Taylor projected pass TD 1.0 (actual 1)

15) Terrelle Pryor 10.1 fantasy points (actual 10.7)

16) Doug Baldwin 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

17) Andrew Luck 286 passing yards (actual 281)

18) Russell Wilson 273 passing yards (actual 282)

19) Mohamed Sanu 7.8 fantasy points (actual 7.4)

20) T.Y. Hilton 86 receiving yards (actual 82)

21) Coby Fleener 45 receiving yards (actual 42)

22) Cole Beasley 58 receiving yards (actual 56)

23) Christine Michael projected rushing TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

24) Travis Kelce 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

25) Jack Doyle 6.0 fantasy points (actual 6.1)

26) Blake Bortles 20.9 fantasy points (actual 21.5)

27) Derek Carr would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 106 yards below average)

28) Devonta Freeman 71 rushing yards (actual 77)

29) Marqise Lee 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

30) Kelvin Benjamin 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

31) Brandin Cooks 72 receiving yards (actual 66)

32) Davante Adams 10.7 fantasy points (actual 10.1)

33) Allen Robinson 70 receiving yards (actual 76)

34) Dontrelle Inman 62 receiving yards (actual 56)

35) Cameron Brate 41 receiving yards (actual 43)

36) Jameis Winston 274 passing yards (actual 261)

37) Todd Gurley 25 receiving yards (actual 26)

38) Stefon Diggs 80 receiving yards (actual 80)

39) Breshad Perriman 33 receiving yards (actual 33)

40) Tyrell Williams 71 receiving yards (actual 65)

41) Adam Humphries 45 receiving yards (actual 46)

42) Dak Prescott 24.0 fantasy points (actual 23.9)

43) Michael Thomas 76 receiving yards (actual 73)

44) Sterling Shepard 48 receiving yards (actual 50)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 9 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 309 2.6 290 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 243 1.6 263 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 274 1.0 230 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 9 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 107 0.7 110 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 71 0.6 80 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 38 0.2 37 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 9 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 79 0.7 75 0.4 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 53 0.4 63 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 43 0.2 45 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w10