Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Frank Gore 75 rushing yards (actual 75)

2) Andrew Luck projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

3) Jordan Matthews 70 receiving yards (actual 65)

4) Dorial Green-Beckham 40 receiving yards (actual 43)

5) Carson Wentz projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

6) Jordan Norwood 23 receiving yards (actual 24)

7) Demaryius Thomas 11.1 fantasy points (actual 10.9)

8) Emmanuel Sanders 6.8 receptions (actual = 7)

9) Terrance West 86 total yards (actual 89 yards)

10) Larry Fitzgerald 6.0 receptions (actual = 6)

11) Vincent Jackson 39 receiving yards (actual 36)

12) Mike Evans 86 receiving yards (actual 89)

13) Jason Witten 44 receiving yards (actual 43)

14) Dak Prescott 234 passing yards (actual 227)

15) Eddie Royal 46 receiving yards (actual 43)

16) Zach Miller 7.4 fantasy points (actual 7.3)

17) Brian Hoyer would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 165 yards above average)

18) Alshon Jeffery 82 receiving yards (actual 77)

19) Blaine Gabbert 18.9 fantasy points (actual 19.5)

20) Carlos Hyde 76 rushing yards (actual 78)

21) Matt Forte 59 rushing yards (actual 53)

22) Ryan Fitzpatrick 253 passing yards (actual 255)

23) Brandon Marshall would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 52 yards above average)

24) Ben Roethlisberger 27.8 fantasy points (actual 29.2)

25) Antonio Brown projected receiving TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

26) DeVante Parker 65 receiving yards (actual 70)

27) Anquan Boldin 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

28) Matthew Stafford would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 120 yards below average)

29) Marvin Jones would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 84 yards below average)

30) Theo Riddick 82 total yards (actual 82 yards)

31) Todd Gurley 14.4 fantasy points (actual 14.8)

32) Vernon Davis 16 receiving yards (actual 15)

33) Kirk Cousins 248 passing yards (actual 260)

34) Delanie Walker 4.6 receptions (actual = 5)

35) Matt Ryan 266 passing yards (actual 267)

36) Julio Jones would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 93 yards below average)

37) Mohamed Sanu 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

38) Tevin Coleman 32 rushing yards (actual 31)

39) Austin Hooper would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 33 yards below average)

40) Danny Amendola would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 29 yards below average)

41) Chris Hogan 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

42) Brock Osweiler projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

43) Kelvin Benjamin 68 receiving yards (actual 70)

44) Philip Rivers would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 359)

45) Andy Dalton 22.6 fantasy points (actual 22.2)

46) Tyler Boyd 32 receiving yards (actual 33)

47) Michael Crabtree 11.2 fantasy points (actual 10.7)

48) Derek Carr projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

49) Seth Roberts 22 receiving yards (actual 22)

50) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

51) Randall Cobb would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 64 yards above average)

52) Eddie Lacy 77 rushing yards (actual 81)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 5 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 305 2.1 293 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 241 1.6 263 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 190 1.3 229 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 5 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 125 0.6 109 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 87 0.6 81 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.2 38 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 5 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 66 0.6 72 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 71 0.4 67 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 40 0.3 45 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w6