Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Frank Gore 70 rushing yards (actual 68)

2) Andrew Luck projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

3) LeSean McCoy 68 rushing yards (actual 70)

4) Charles Clay 4.9 fantasy points (actual 4.7)

5) Tyrod Taylor would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 70 yards above average)

6) Robert Woods would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 62 yards above average)

7) Russell Wilson would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 57 yards above average)

8) Christine Michael 91 total yards (actual 90 yards)

9) Jeremy Maclin 77 receiving yards (actual 78)

10) Spencer Ware 91 total yards (actual 96 yards)

11) Terrelle Pryor 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

12) Crockett Gillmore 17 receiving yards (actual 16)

13) Carson Palmer 290 passing yards (actual 288)

14) Michael Floyd 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

15) John Brown would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 113 yards above average)

16) David Johnson 87 rushing yards (actual 83)

17) Mike Evans would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 41 yards below average)

18) Jameis Winston would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 131 yards below average)

19) Cole Beasley 66 receiving yards (actual 66)

20) Terrance Williams 48 receiving yards (actual 44)

21) Brian Hoyer 20.7 fantasy points (actual 19.8)

22) Kevin White 51 receiving yards (actual 55)

23) Carlos Hyde 73 rushing yards (actual 74)

24) Matt Forte would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 60 yards below average)

25) Brandon Marshall would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 36 yards above average)

26) Quincy Enunwa 59 receiving yards (actual 60)

27) Ben Roethlisberger 303 passing yards (actual 300)

28) DeAngelo Williams would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 79 yards below average)

29) Jarvis Landry 6.9 receptions (actual = 7)

30) Anquan Boldin 31 receiving yards (actual 31)

31) Matthew Stafford would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 115 yards below average)

32) Marvin Jones would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 62 yards below average)

33) Eric Ebron 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

34) Vernon Davis would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 28 yards below average)

35) Pierre Garcon 40 receiving yards (actual 39)

36) Kirk Cousins would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 147 yards below average)

37) Jordan Reed 66 receiving yards (actual 73)

38) Marcus Mariota 207 passing yards (actual 202)

39) Julio Jones would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 237 yards above average)

40) Devonta Freeman 61 rushing yards (actual 57)

41) Stefon Diggs would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 61 yards below average)

42) Eli Manning 264 passing yards (actual 261)

43) Victor Cruz 47 receiving yards (actual 50)

44) Danny Amendola would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 40 yards below average)

45) Drew Brees projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

46) Brandon Coleman would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 30 yards below average)

47) Willie Snead would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 90 yards below average)

48) Blake Bortles 24.9 fantasy points (actual 25.9)

49) Brock Osweiler 247 passing yards (actual 254)

50) Lamar Miller 86 rushing yards (actual 82)

51) Fozzy Whittaker would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 55 yards below average)

52) Kelvin Benjamin would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 61 yards below average)

53) Philip Rivers would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 321)

54) Dontrelle Inman would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 105 yards above average)

55) Hunter Henry 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

56) Brandon LaFell 43 receiving yards (actual 44)

57) Jeremy Hill 79 rushing yards (actual 71)

58) Amari Cooper 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 4 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 259 2.1 290 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 252 1.6 268 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 248 1.0 238 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 4 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 108 0.6 105 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 88 0.6 80 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 34 0.1 38 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 4 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 70 0.4 74 0.4 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 56 0.5 66 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 43 0.3 47 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w5