Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Frank Gore 58 rushing yards (actual 59)

2) T.Y. Hilton 80 receiving yards (actual 79)

3) Donte Moncrief 61 receiving yards (actual 64)

4) Charles Clay 38 receiving yards (actual 40)

5) Russell Wilson 252 passing yards (actual 258)

6) Emmanuel Sanders would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 32 yards below average)

7) Jeremy Maclin 62 receiving yards (actual 63)

8) Mike Wallace 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

9) Carson Palmer 282 passing yards (actual 271)

10) Michael Floyd 62 receiving yards (actual 61)

11) Doug Martin 94 total yards (actual 96 yards)

12) Mike Evans 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

13) Eric Decker 9.5 fantasy points (actual 9.7)

14) Antonio Brown would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 126)

15) Ryan Tannehill would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 77 yards below average)

16) Anquan Boldin 36 receiving yards (actual 35)

17) Marvin Jones 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

18) Pierre Garcon 51 receiving yards (actual 51)

19) Kirk Cousins would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 69 yards above average)

20) Jordan Reed 61 receiving yards (actual 64)

21) Andre Johnson 3.1 fantasy points (actual 3.0)

22) DeMarco Murray 80 total yards (actual 77 yards)

23) Matt Ryan 21.6 fantasy points (actual 22.4)

24) Mohamed Sanu would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 55 yards above average)

25) Rashad Jennings 75 total yards (actual 78 yards)

26) Will Tye would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 26 yards below average)

27) Brandin Cooks 5.6 receptions (actual = 6)

28) Allen Hurns 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

29) Lamar Miller would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 52 yards above average)

30) Jonathan Stewart 60 rushing yards (actual 64)

31) Ted Ginn would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 48 yards below average)

32) Greg Olsen 7.6 fantasy points (actual 7.3)

33) Jeremy Hill 9.1 fantasy points (actual 9.1)

34) Michael Crabtree 8.9 fantasy points (actual 8.7)

35) Latavius Murray 12.6 fantasy points (actual 13.2)

36) Amari Cooper 6.0 receptions (actual = 6)

37) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

38) Richard Rodgers 2.2 fantasy points (actual 2.2)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 1 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 323 2.1 323 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 264 1.7 264 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 220 0.9 220 0.9 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 1 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 99 0.6 99 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 86 0.7 86 0.7 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 41 0.3 41 0.3 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 1 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 101 0.7 101 0.7 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 66 0.4 66 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 49 0.3 49 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w2