Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

2) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

3) Carson Palmer projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

4) Ben Roethlisberger 277 passing yards (actual 286)

5) Matt Forte would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 44 yards below average)

6) Larry Fitzgerald 7.0 receptions (actual = 7)

7) Greg Olsen 8.7 fantasy points (actual 8.5)

8) Aaron Rodgers 247 passing yards (actual 252)

9) Pierre Garcon 7.6 fantasy points (actual 7.8)

10) Delanie Walker 55 receiving yards (actual 55)

11) Gary Barnidge 36 receiving yards (actual 35)

12) Matthew Stafford 269 passing yards (actual 273)

13) Michael Crabtree 65 receiving yards (actual 60)

14) Demaryius Thomas 82 receiving yards (actual 91)

15) DeMarco Murray 14.6 fantasy points (actual 14.1)

16) Doug Baldwin 10.0 fantasy points (actual 9.5)

17) Kamar Aiken 21 receiving yards (actual 19)

18) Andrew Luck 254 passing yards (actual 250)

19) Kirk Cousins 303 passing yards (actual 315)

20) Lamar Miller 90 total yards (actual 89 yards)

21) Cole Beasley 44 receiving yards (actual 48)

22) Spencer Ware 75 rushing yards (actual 70)

23) Terrance Williams 28 receiving yards (actual 30)

24) Cobi Hamilton 19 receiving yards (actual 21)

25) Kenny Stills 52 receiving yards (actual 52)

26) DeAndre Hopkins 8.3 fantasy points (actual 8.7)

27) Zach Ertz 5.6 receptions (actual = 6)

28) Latavius Murray 74 rushing yards (actual 81)

29) Jack Doyle 34 receiving yards (actual 32)

30) Blake Bortles would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 153 yards below average)

31) Carlos Hyde 77 rushing yards (actual 71)

32) Odell Beckham 13.4 fantasy points (actual 13.3)

33) Willie Snead 7.7 fantasy points (actual 7.6)

34) Dontrelle Inman 69 receiving yards (actual 68)

35) Cameron Brate 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

36) Marcus Mariota 240 passing yards (actual 241)

37) David Johnson 23.7 fantasy points (actual 22.8)

38) Seth Roberts 28 receiving yards (actual 27)

39) Will Tye 28 receiving yards (actual 25)

40) Ezekiel Elliott projected rushing TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

41) Will Fuller 44 receiving yards (actual 42)

42) Sterling Shepard 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

43) Robby Anderson 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 15 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 272 1.5 282 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 239 1.2 258 1.4 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 191 1.3 225 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 15 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 129 1.0 113 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 78 0.4 80 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.2 36 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 15 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 59 0.3 74 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 71 0.4 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 41 0.2 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w16