Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Joe Flacco 19.9 fantasy points (actual 19.1)

2) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

3) Matt Ryan 22.3 fantasy points (actual 21.5)

4) Aaron Rodgers 258 passing yards (actual 246)

5) Jordy Nelson 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

6) Pierre Garcon 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

7) Gary Barnidge 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

8) Sam Bradford 18.3 fantasy points (actual 17.4)

9) LeGarrette Blount 79 rushing yards (actual 72)

10) Dennis Pitta 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

11) DeMarco Murray 15.4 fantasy points (actual 15.2)

12) Kyle Rudolph 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

13) Tyrod Taylor 223 passing yards (actual 228)

14) Andrew Luck 275 passing yards (actual 276)

15) Kirk Cousins projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

16) Cobi Hamilton 15 receiving yards (actual 15)

17) Cordarrelle Patterson 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

18) Travis Kelce 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

19) Latavius Murray 100 total yards (actual 103 yards)

20) Blake Bortles projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

21) Davante Adams 4.4 receptions (actual = 4)

22) Odell Beckham 95 receiving yards (actual 94)

23) Adam Thielen 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

24) Willie Snead 8.9 fantasy points (actual 8.5)

25) Dontrelle Inman 68 receiving yards (actual 71)

26) Todd Gurley 62 rushing yards (actual 61)

27) Tyrell Williams 75 receiving yards (actual 68)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 14 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 227 1.4 282 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 254 1.2 260 1.4 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 225 1.0 228 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 14 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 91 0.6 111 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 90 0.6 80 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 36 0.2 36 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 14 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 63 0.7 74 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 57 0.3 63 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 45 0.2 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w15