Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

2) Drew Brees projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

3) Joe Flacco 276 passing yards (actual 269)

4) Carson Palmer would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 108 yards below average)

5) DeSean Jackson 49 receiving yards (actual 51)

6) Jason Witten 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

7) Matthew Stafford 275 passing yards (actual 278)

8) Mike Wallace 63 receiving yards (actual 62)

9) Julian Edelman 71 receiving yards (actual 77)

10) Alex Smith 264 passing yards (actual 261)

11) LeGarrette Blount would rush for 100+ yards (actual 124)

12) Lance Kendricks 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

13) Terrelle Pryor 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

14) Andrew Luck projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

15) Russell Wilson 23.7 fantasy points (actual 24.3)

16) T.Y. Hilton 89 receiving yards (actual 97)

17) Cole Beasley 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

18) Giovani Bernard 65 total yards (actual 61 yards)

19) Cordarrelle Patterson 5.6 fantasy points (actual 5.3)

20) DeAndre Hopkins 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

21) Derek Carr 22.7 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

22) Jeremy Hill 57 rushing yards (actual 62)

23) Marqise Lee 55 receiving yards (actual 52)

24) Jordan Matthews 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

25) Jarvis Landry 8.8 fantasy points (actual 8.8)

26) Marcus Mariota projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

27) Phillip Dorsett 4.7 fantasy points (actual 5.0)

28) Adam Humphries 44 receiving yards (actual 47)

29) Michael Thomas 73 receiving yards (actual 68)

30) Sterling Shepard 49 receiving yards (actual 50)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 11 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 270 1.9 291 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 314 1.0 262 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 197 1.1 222 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 11 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 117 0.7 112 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 81 0.3 80 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 40 0.2 37 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 11 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 58 0.3 76 0.4 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 61 0.4 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 37 0.3 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w12