Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Drew Brees 294 passing yards (actual 303)

2) Ben Roethlisberger would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 408)

3) Ted Ginn 4.7 fantasy points (actual 4.5)

4) Antonio Gates 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

5) Greg Olsen 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

6) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

7) Mike Wallace 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

8) Julian Edelman would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 54 yards above average)

9) Sam Bradford 18.4 fantasy points (actual 18.3)

10) Antonio Brown would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 154)

11) A.J. Green 12.2 fantasy points (actual 12.8)

12) Julio Jones would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 135)

13) Cam Newton 24.8 fantasy points (actual 23.8)

14) Mark Ingram 48 rushing yards (actual 50)

15) Terrelle Pryor 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

16) Doug Baldwin 5.9 receptions (actual = 6)

17) Ryan Tannehill 19.9 fantasy points (actual 19.2)

18) Kirk Cousins 259 passing yards (actual 262)

19) Lamar Miller 85 rushing yards (actual 83)

20) Cole Beasley 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

21) Spencer Ware 64 rushing yards (actual 61)

22) Quinton Patton 5.4 fantasy points (actual 5.2)

23) DeAndre Hopkins 5.4 receptions (actual = 5)

24) Devonta Freeman 32 receiving yards (actual 32)

25) Marqise Lee 55 receiving yards (actual 50)

26) Jordan Matthews 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

27) Odell Beckham 91 receiving yards (actual 97)

28) Terrance West 69 rushing yards (actual 65)

29) Richard Rodgers 2.8 fantasy points (actual 2.7)

30) Adam Thielen 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

31) Todd Gurley 64 rushing yards (actual 64)

32) Melvin Gordon 132 total yards (actual 132 yards)

33) David Johnson 45 receiving yards (actual 46)

34) Breshad Perriman 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

35) Tyrell Williams 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

36) Adam Humphries 45 receiving yards (actual 46)

37) Will Tye would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 30 yards above average)

38) Ezekiel Elliott 122 rushing yards (actual 114)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 10 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 327 2.4 294 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 237 1.3 261 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 188 1.3 226 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 10 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 131 1.4 111 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 87 0.2 80 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 34 0.2 37 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 10 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 99 0.4 77 0.4 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 75 0.4 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 37 0.3 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w11