Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Larry Fitzgerald 12.0 fantasy points (actual 12.4)

2) Matt Ryan projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

3) Devonta Freeman 86 rushing yards (actual 88)

4) Joe Flacco 22.0 fantasy points (actual 23.0)

5) Jeremy Ross 22 receiving yards (actual 21)

6) Crockett Gillmore 6.5 fantasy points (actual 6.8)

7) Jonathan Stewart 76 rushing yards (actual 82)

8) Greg Olsen 73 receiving yards (actual 79)

9) Marquess Wilson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 44 yards below average)

10) Gary Barnidge 57 receiving yards (actual 53)

11) Josh McCown would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 116 yards below average)

12) Terrance Williams would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 39 yards below average)

13) Peyton Manning would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 86 yards above average)

14) Ronnie Hillman 64 rushing yards (actual 60)

15) Calvin Johnson 92 receiving yards (actual 85)

16) Golden Tate 60 receiving yards (actual 59)

17) Eric Ebron 3.4 receptions (actual = 3)

18) DeAndre Hopkins 7.8 receptions (actual = 8)

19) Frank Gore 70 rushing yards (actual 70)

20) Rishard Matthews 65 receiving yards (actual 62)

21) Jarvis Landry 72 receiving yards (actual 71)

22) Adrian Peterson 108 total yards (actual 109 yards)

23) Tom Brady would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 356)

24) Julian Edelman 77 receiving yards (actual 81)

25) Rob Gronkowski projected receiving TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

26) Eli Manning would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 96 yards above average)

27) Dwayne Harris 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

28) Rueben Randle 55 receiving yards (actual 55)

29) Eric Decker 66 receiving yards (actual 60)

30) Chris Ivory would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 83 yards below average)

31) Amari Cooper 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

32) Philip Rivers 25.6 fantasy points (actual 24.0)

33) Jimmy Graham 7.3 fantasy points (actual 7.5)

34) Doug Baldwin 38 receiving yards (actual 35)

35) Russell Wilson 217 passing yards (actual 210)

36) Colin Kaepernick would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 162)

37) Quinton Patton 3.4 fantasy points (actual 3.3)

38) Doug Martin 71 rushing yards (actual 71)

39) Charles Sims 24 rushing yards (actual 22)

40) Jameis Winston 20.1 fantasy points (actual 19.5)

41) Delanie Walker 56 receiving yards (actual 62)

42) Kendall Wright 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 8 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 301 2.4 295 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 226 1.7 257 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 204 1.0 228 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 8 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 98 0.2 108 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 84 0.4 83 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 40 0.2 45 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 8 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 87 0.8 86 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 54 0.5 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 37 0.4 39 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w9