Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Larry Fitzgerald 97 receiving yards (actual 93)

2) Matt Ryan 281 passing yards (actual 295)

3) Julio Jones 91 receiving yards (actual 93)

4) Leonard Hankerson 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

5) Justin Forsett 9.7 fantasy points (actual 10.1)

6) Charles Clay 6.1 fantasy points (actual 6.2)

7) Chris Hogan 28 receiving yards (actual 31)

8) Robert Woods 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

9) Cam Newton 20.3 fantasy points (actual 19.8)

10) Corey Brown 21 receiving yards (actual 22)

11) Marquess Wilson 5.6 fantasy points (actual 5.4)

12) Giovani Bernard 54 rushing yards (actual 50)

13) Tyler Eifert 8.6 fantasy points (actual 9.0)

14) Gary Barnidge would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 36 yards below average)

15) Duke Johnson 35 rushing yards (actual 38)

16) Peyton Manning 282 passing yards (actual 290)

17) C.J. Anderson 69 total yards (actual 66 yards)

18) Calvin Johnson would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 102 yards above average)

19) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

20) Ryan Mallett would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 0)

21) Cecil Shorts 6.1 fantasy points (actual 6.3)

22) DeAndre Hopkins would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 148)

23) T.Y. Hilton 5.9 receptions (actual = 6)

24) Donte Moncrief 63 receiving yards (actual 69)

25) Phillip Dorsett 30 receiving yards (actual 30)

26) Allen Robinson 82 receiving yards (actual 86)

27) Travis Kelce 9.2 fantasy points (actual 8.8)

28) Ryan Tannehill 253 passing yards (actual 266)

29) Lamar Miller would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 80 yards above average)

30) Teddy Bridgewater would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 56 yards above average)

31) Tom Brady would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 312)

32) Rob Gronkowski projected receiving TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

33) Drew Brees 316 passing yards (actual 312)

34) Rueben Randle 45 receiving yards (actual 44)

35) Brandon Marshall 6.6 receptions (actual = 7)

36) Sam Bradford 267 passing yards (actual 280)

37) DeMarco Murray would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 77 yards above average)

38) Antonio Brown would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 81 yards below average)

39) Markus Wheaton would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 38 yards below average)

40) Philip Rivers would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 503)

41) Danny Woodhead 76 total yards (actual 71 yards)

42) Ladarius Green 38 receiving yards (actual 35)

43) Anquan Boldin 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

44) Torrey Smith 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

45) Carlos Hyde 58 rushing yards (actual 55)

46) Kendall Wright 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

47) Marcus Mariota 230 passing yards (actual 219)

48) Pierre Garcon 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

49) Kirk Cousins projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

50) Ryan Grant 22 receiving yards (actual 22)

51) Jamison Crowder 43 receiving yards (actual 40)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 6 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 321 1.9 294 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 312 1.8 262 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 176 1.3 229 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 6 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 100 0.8 105 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 83 0.7 78 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 42 0.2 46 0.3 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 6 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 90 0.6 87 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 68 0.4 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 47 0.3 40 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w7