Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Chris Johnson 10.7 fantasy points (actual 10.3)

2) Larry Fitzgerald 12.2 fantasy points (actual 11.8)

3) John Brown 67 receiving yards (actual 73)

4) Tyrod Taylor 22.0 fantasy points (actual 22.4)

5) Matt Forte 114 total yards (actual 109 yards)

6) Marquess Wilson would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 35 yards above average)

7) A.J. Green 86 receiving yards (actual 78)

8) Giovani Bernard 10.0 fantasy points (actual 10.1)

9) Travis Benjamin 8.2 fantasy points (actual 8.3)

10) Isaiah Crowell 49 rushing yards (actual 49)

11) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

12) James Starks would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 35 yards below average)

13) Ty Montgomery would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 37 yards above average)

14) Allen Robinson 77 receiving yards (actual 72)

15) T.J. Yeldon 12.0 fantasy points (actual 12.3)

16) Jeremy Maclin 78 receiving yards (actual 85)

17) Alex Smith would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 97 yards below average)

18) Tom Brady 26.3 fantasy points (actual 25.3)

19) Drew Brees would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 335)

20) Mark Ingram 59 rushing yards (actual 57)

21) Eli Manning would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 197 yards above average)

22) Larry Donnell 35 receiving yards (actual 35)

23) Odell Beckham 6.7 receptions (actual = 7)

24) Derek Carr 257 passing yards (actual 249)

25) Sam Bradford projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

26) DeMarco Murray would rush for more yards than his average (actual = 67 yards above average)

27) Heath Miller 4.5 fantasy points (actual 4.6)

28) Antonio Brown would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 75 yards below average)

29) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

30) Malcom Floyd 49 receiving yards (actual 48)

31) Danny Woodhead 75 total yards (actual 76 yards)

32) Jermaine Kearse would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 41 yards below average)

33) Doug Baldwin 7.0 fantasy points (actual 7.0)

34) Tyler Lockett 27 receiving yards (actual 29)

35) Anquan Boldin would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 76 yards above average)

36) Garrett Celek 27 receiving yards (actual 26)

37) Alfred Morris would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 66 yards below average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 5 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 294 1.8 290 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 274 2.0 252 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 203 1.0 238 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 5 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 136 0.7 106 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 103 0.7 78 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 44 0.2 47 0.3 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 5 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 81 0.3 86 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 57 0.4 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 39 0.2 38 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w6