Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Chris Johnson 76 total yards (actual 72 yards)

2) Jermaine Gresham would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 26 yards below average)

3) Michael Floyd would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 60 yards below average)

4) John Brown 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

5) Julio Jones 14.3 fantasy points (actual 13.5)

6) Joe Flacco 21.4 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

7) Justin Forsett 69 rushing yards (actual 68)

8) LeSean McCoy 12.2 fantasy points (actual 11.6)

9) Charles Clay 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

10) Sammy Watkins 63 receiving yards (actual 60)

11) Jonathan Stewart 60 rushing yards (actual 62)

12) Cam Newton 196 passing yards (actual 195)

13) Matt Forte 107 total yards (actual 105 yards)

14) Andy Dalton 20.8 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

15) Mohamed Sanu would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 34 yards below average)

16) Dwayne Bowe would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 50 yards below average)

17) Taylor Gabriel would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 45 yards below average)

18) Jason Witten 57 receiving yards (actual 56)

19) Cole Beasley 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

20) Terrance Williams would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 40 yards above average)

21) Peyton Manning 21.5 fantasy points (actual 20.2)

22) Calvin Johnson 94 receiving yards (actual 83)

23) Joique Bell would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 55 yards below average)

24) Aaron Rodgers 255 passing yards (actual 249)

25) Randall Cobb 11.3 fantasy points (actual 11.6)

26) Davante Adams 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

27) Frank Gore 57 rushing yards (actual 57)

28) Andrew Luck 254 passing yards (actual 250)

29) T.Y. Hilton 43 receiving yards (actual 45)

30) Coby Fleener would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 48 yards below average)

31) Blake Bortles 20.5 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

32) Allen Hurns 3.7 receptions (actual = 4)

33) Jamaal Charles 14.4 fantasy points (actual 14.7)

34) Travis Kelce 63 receiving yards (actual 58)

35) Ryan Tannehill 23.4 fantasy points (actual 24.1)

36) Kenny Stills would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 54 yards below average)

37) Jarvis Landry would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 59 yards above average)

38) Rob Gronkowski projected receiving TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

39) Marques Colston 6.9 fantasy points (actual 6.9)

40) Eli Manning 287 passing yards (actual 292)

41) Andre Williams 4.2 fantasy points (actual 4.3)

42) Riley Cooper would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 36 yards below average)

43) DeMarco Murray would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 113 yards below average)

44) Zach Ertz 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

45) Jordan Matthews 91 receiving yards (actual 80)

46) Heath Miller 7.1 fantasy points (actual 7.5)

47) Antonio Brown would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 195)

48) Markus Wheaton 7.1 fantasy points (actual 6.7)

49) Anquan Boldin 64 receiving yards (actual 60)

50) Kenny Britt 47 receiving yards (actual 44)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 2 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 295 1.8 289 1.8 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 256 2.1 237 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 250 2.0 222 1.6 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 2 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 84 0.3 84 0.3 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 69 0.3 74 0.4 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 45 0.2 48 0.3 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 2 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 95 0.5 85 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 68 0.7 61 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 41 0.2 37 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w3