Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Chris Johnson 3.8 fantasy points (actual 3.7)

2) Matt Ryan 284 passing yards (actual 298)

3) Julio Jones would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 141)

4) Justin Forsett would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 36 yards below average)

5) LeSean McCoy would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 41 yards below average)

6) Charles Clay 4.5 fantasy points (actual 4.3)

7) Jonathan Stewart 86 total yards (actual 81 yards)

8) Martellus Bennett 57 receiving yards (actual 55)

9) Matt Forte 25 receiving yards (actual 25)

10) Alshon Jeffery 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

11) Andy Dalton would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 57 yards above average)

12) Giovani Bernard 8.7 fantasy points (actual 8.8)

13) Tony Romo would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 109 yards above average)

14) Emmanuel Sanders 68 receiving yards (actual 65)

15) Eddie Lacy 78 rushing yards (actual 85)

16) Davante Adams would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 27 yards above average)

17) Alex Smith 243 passing yards (actual 243)

18) Greg Jennings 3.0 receptions (actual = 3)

19) Kenny Stills would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 50 yards below average)

20) Mike Wallace 63 receiving yards (actual 63)

21) Tom Brady 287 passing yards (actual 288)

22) Julian Edelman 10.5 fantasy points (actual 10.6)

23) Rob Gronkowski 80 receiving yards (actual 94)

24) Preston Parker 27 receiving yards (actual 26)

25) Andre Williams would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 39 yards below average)

26) Brandon Marshall 64 receiving yards (actual 62)

27) Michael Crabtree 36 receiving yards (actual 37)

28) Andre Holmes would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 50 yards below average)

29) DeMarco Murray would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 106 yards below average)

30) Zach Ertz 4.6 fantasy points (actual 4.6)

31) Jordan Matthews 10.6 fantasy points (actual 10.2)

32) Antonio Brown would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 133)

33) Markus Wheaton 60 receiving yards (actual 55)

34) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

35) Jimmy Graham 57 receiving yards (actual 51)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 1 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 284 1.7 284 1.7 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 208 1.2 208 1.2 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 203 1.3 203 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 1 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 79 0.5 79 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 51 0.3 51 0.3 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 1 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 71 0.5 71 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 56 0.2 56 0.2 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 32 0.1 32 0.1 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w2