Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Carson Palmer 19.8 fantasy points (actual 20.3)

2) Jonathan Stewart 87 total yards (actual 91 yards)

3) Ted Ginn 47 receiving yards (actual 45)

4) Greg Olsen 74 receiving yards (actual 80)

5) Marvin Jones 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

6) Giovani Bernard 83 total yards (actual 79 yards)

7) Emmanuel Sanders would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 80 yards below average)

8) Calvin Johnson 84 receiving yards (actual 81)

9) Lance Moore 29 receiving yards (actual 29)

10) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

11) Richard Rodgers 33 receiving yards (actual 32)

12) Allen Robinson 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

13) Allen Hurns 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

14) Alex Smith 215 passing yards (actual 204)

15) Travis Kelce 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

16) Lamar Miller 97 total yards (actual 93 yards)

17) Tom Brady 332 passing yards (actual 334)

18) Drew Brees projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

19) Marques Colston 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

20) Mark Ingram 84 rushing yards (actual 77)

21) Brandon Coleman 13 receiving yards (actual 14)

22) Eli Manning projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

23) Rashad Jennings 37 rushing yards (actual 39)

24) Rueben Randle 52 receiving yards (actual 51)

25) Kenbrell Thompkins would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 41 yards below average)

26) Derek Carr projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

27) Amari Cooper 72 receiving yards (actual 79)

28) Sam Bradford 246 passing yards (actual 236)

29) Heath Miller 4.2 fantasy points (actual 4.0)

30) Russell Wilson 229 passing yards (actual 240)

31) Jared Cook 37 receiving yards (actual 35)

32) Justin Hunter 4.9 fantasy points (actual 4.7)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 10 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 280 1.6 295 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 238 1.7 259 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 204 0.5 226 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 10 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 106 0.4 106 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 90 0.4 87 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 35 0.2 43 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 10 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 68 0.5 86 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 64 0.3 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 30 0.2 38 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w11