Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Jacob Tamme 6.4 fantasy points (actual 6.1)

2) Julio Jones would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 137)

3) Martellus Bennett 60 receiving yards (actual 57)

4) Marvin Jones 7.7 fantasy points (actual 7.8)

5) Tyler Eifert 59 receiving yards (actual 53)

6) Isaiah Crowell 36 rushing yards (actual 38)

7) Jason Witten 45 receiving yards (actual 43)

8) Terrance Williams 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

9) Peyton Manning 294 passing yards (actual 281)

10) Emmanuel Sanders 90 receiving yards (actual 90)

11) Philip Rivers would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 64 yards below average)

12) Stevie Johnson 62 receiving yards (actual 68)

13) Antonio Brown would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 284)

14) Amari Cooper 86 receiving yards (actual 88)

15) Zach Ertz 40 receiving yards (actual 44)

16) Pierre Garcon 7.3 fantasy points (actual 7.0)

17) Nick Foles would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 168)

18) Tavon Austin 8.4 fantasy points (actual 8.1)

19) Blake Bortles 19.5 fantasy points (actual 20.4)

20) T.J. Yeldon 9.7 fantasy points (actual 10.1)

21) Andrew Luck 21.5 fantasy points (actual 21.5)

22) Eli Manning projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

23) Mark Ingram 103 total yards (actual 96 yards)

24) Brandin Cooks 65 receiving yards (actual 71)

25) Jarvis Landry 65 receiving yards (actual 69)

26) Ben Watson 57 receiving yards (actual 60)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 9 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 311 2.6 296 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 301 1.9 262 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 226 1.3 228 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 9 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 94 0.6 106 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 113 0.8 87 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 34 0.2 44 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 9 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 107 0.4 88 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 74 0.4 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 39 0.2 39 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w10