Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Michael Floyd 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

2) Matt Ryan 23.9 fantasy points (actual 23.6)

3) Steven Jackson 57 rushing yards (actual 54)

4) Julio Jones would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 161)

5) Justin Forsett 62 rushing yards (actual 63)

6) Steve L Smith 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

7) Greg Olsen 66 receiving yards (actual 69)

8) Martellus Bennett 55 receiving yards (actual 54)

9) Matt Forte 45 receiving yards (actual 43)

10) Andy Dalton would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 108 yards below average)

11) Mohamed Sanu 45 receiving yards (actual 44)

12) Brian Hoyer 16.4 fantasy points (actual 16.0)

13) Jason Witten 51 receiving yards (actual 49)

14) DeMarco Murray would rush for 100+ yards (actual 100)

15) Peyton Manning 300 passing yards (actual 303)

16) Reggie Bush 36 receiving yards (actual 38)

17) Calvin Johnson 6.1 receptions (actual = 6)

18) Golden Tate 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

19) Jordy Nelson would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 87 yards below average)

20) Ryan Fitzpatrick 18.9 fantasy points (actual 19.0)

21) Ahmad Bradshaw 82 total yards (actual 83 yards)

22) T.Y. Hilton 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

23) Toby Gerhart 67 total yards (actual 63 yards)

24) Anthony Fasano 24 receiving yards (actual 23)

25) Alex Smith 19.8 fantasy points (actual 19.1)

26) Travis Kelce 3.4 receptions (actual = 3)

27) Mike Wallace 73 receiving yards (actual 74)

28) Greg Jennings would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 39 yards above average)

29) Tom Brady would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 35 yards above average)

30) Drew Brees projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

31) Jimmy Graham 5.9 receptions (actual = 6)

32) Eli Manning 18.1 fantasy points (actual 17.3)

33) Victor Cruz would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 65 yards above average)

34) James Jones would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 30 yards below average)

35) Riley Cooper 32 receiving yards (actual 34)

36) Zach Ertz would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 68 yards below average)

37) Ben Roethlisberger would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 95 yards below average)

38) Heath Miller 4.8 fantasy points (actual 5.1)

39) Antonio Brown 81 receiving yards (actual 90)

40) Antonio Gates would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 81 yards below average)

41) Marshawn Lynch projected rushing TDs 1.0 (actual 1)

42) Doug Baldwin would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 32 yards above average)

43) Russell Wilson 23.4 fantasy points (actual 22.0)

44) Michael Crabtree 73 receiving yards (actual 80)

45) Brian Quick 62 receiving yards (actual 62)

46) Zac Stacy 12.4 fantasy points (actual 12.1)

47) Delanie Walker 58 receiving yards (actual 54)

48) Kendall Wright 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

49) Pierre Garcon would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 94 yards above average)

50) Niles Paul would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 25 yards below average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.